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Canada

Calgary McKnight


MP elect: Dalwinder Gill (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC leaning

Candidates | Calgary McKnight


Liberal George Chahal
Conservative Dalwinder Gill
NDP Arlington Antonio Santiago
Green Evelyn Tanaka
PPC Najeeb Butt
Centrist Syed Hasnain
Canadian Future Benjamin Cridland

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary McKnight 49% ± 0%▲ CPC 46% ± 0%▼ LPC 3% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 49.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary McKnight 73%▲ CPC 27%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary McKnight

LPC 46% ± 0% CPC 49% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Calgary McKnight 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 45% CPC 39% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 48% CPC 38% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 35% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 37% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 37% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% CPC 37% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 51% CPC 38% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 51% CPC 38% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 41% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 41% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 53% CPC 40% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 50% CPC 41% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 50% CPC 41% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 49% LPC 46% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary McKnight

LPC 27% CPC 73% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary McKnight



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 49% ± 0% 49.8% 34.2% 49.1% LPC 46% ± 0% 30.8% 43.8% 46.0% NDP 3% ± 0% 14.5% 16.2% 2.8% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.5% 3.9% 0.8% GPC 1% ± 0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.