Calgary McKnight



Latest projection: April 19, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Calgary McKnight


Liberal George Chahal
Conservative Dalwinder Gill
NDP Arlington Antonio Santiago
Green Evelyn Tanaka
PPC Najeeb Butt
Centrist Syed Hasnain
Canadian Future Benjamin Cridland

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary McKnight 50% ± 9% LPC 40% ± 9% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 43.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary McKnight 91% LPC 9% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary McKnight

LPC 50% ± 9% CPC 40% ± 9% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Calgary McKnight 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 19, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 45% CPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 48% CPC 38% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 51% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 51% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 51% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary McKnight

LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 19, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary McKnight



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 30.8% 43.8% 50% ± 9% CPC 49.8% 34.2% 40% ± 9% NDP 14.5% 16.2% 6% ± 4% PPC 1.5% 3.9% 1% ± 2% GPC 1.7% 1.1% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.