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Canada


West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country (federal)


MP: Patrick Weiler (LPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

CPC leaning gain
West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country 36% ± 7%▼ 32% ± 6%▲ 22% ± 5% 9% ± 4% LPC 2021 33.84% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country 80%▼ 20%▲ <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country

LPC 32% ± 6% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 22% ± 5% GPC 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country

LPC 20% CPC 80% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 54.6% 34.9% 33.84% 32% ± 6% CPC 26.2% 26.7% 30.05% 36% ± 7% NDP 9.9% 13.9% 25.63% 22% ± 5% GPC 8.9% 22.4% 6.48% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 3.64% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0% ± 0%