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Canada

Regina—Lewvan


MP elect: Warren Steinley (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC leaning

Candidates | Regina—Lewvan


Liberal Mac Hird
Conservative Warren Steinley*
NDP Ray Aldinger
Green Michael Wright
PPC Godwin Ezizor

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Regina—Lewvan 50% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 7% LPC 6% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 50.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina—Lewvan 88%▼ CPC 12%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Regina—Lewvan

LPC 43% ± 7% CPC 50% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Regina—Lewvan 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 56% NDP 28% LPC 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 55% NDP 28% LPC 10% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 54% NDP 28% LPC 11% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 53% NDP 29% LPC 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 52% NDP 29% LPC 13% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 52% NDP 27% LPC 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 53% NDP 25% LPC 15% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 50% NDP 24% LPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 50% NDP 24% LPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% NDP 23% LPC 21% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 25% NDP 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Regina—Lewvan

LPC 12% CPC 88% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Regina—Lewvan



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 50% ± 7% 51.9% 46.2% 50.0% LPC 43% ± 7% 13.7% 14.3% 43.0% NDP 6% ± 3% 28.7% 34.8% 5.9% GPC 1% ± 1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.6% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.