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Canada

Regina—Lewvan



Latest projection: April 21, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Regina—Lewvan


Liberal Mac Hird
Conservative Warren Steinley*
NDP Ray Aldinger
Green Michael Wright
PPC Godwin Ezizor

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Regina—Lewvan 49% ± 9% CPC 31% ± 8% LPC 17% ± 6%▼ NDP CPC 2021 46.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 21, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina—Lewvan >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 21, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Regina—Lewvan

LPC 31% ± 8% CPC 49% ± 9% NDP 17% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Regina—Lewvan 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 21, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 50% NDP 24% LPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% NDP 23% LPC 21% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 25% NDP 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-21 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Regina—Lewvan

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 21, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Regina—Lewvan



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 51.9% 46.2% 49% ± 9% LPC 13.7% 14.3% 31% ± 8% NDP 28.7% 34.8% 17% ± 6% GPC 4.1% 1.2% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.1% 3.5% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.