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Canada

Regina—Lewvan


MP: Warren Steinley (CPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Recent electoral history | Regina—Lewvan


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 47% ± 9% 13.7% 14.3% 43.0% CPC 46% ± 9% 51.9% 46.2% 50.0% NDP 7% ± 4% 28.7% 34.8% 5.9% GPC 1% ± 1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.6% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Regina—Lewvan


Regina—Lewvan 47% ± 9%▲ LPC 46% ± 9%▼ CPC 7% ± 4%▲ NDP CPC 2025 50.0% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina—Lewvan 55%▲ LPC 45%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Regina—Lewvan

LPC 47% ± 9% CPC 46% ± 9% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Regina—Lewvan 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 56% NDP 28% LPC 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 55% NDP 28% LPC 10% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 54% NDP 28% LPC 11% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 53% NDP 29% LPC 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 52% NDP 29% LPC 13% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 52% NDP 27% LPC 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 53% NDP 25% LPC 15% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 50% NDP 24% LPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 50% NDP 24% LPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% NDP 23% LPC 21% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 25% NDP 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 6% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 7% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Regina—Lewvan

LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader