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Canada


Trois-Rivières (federal)


MP: René Villemure (BQ)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC leaning gain
Trois-Rivières 37% ± 7%▲ 32% ± 7%▼ 18% ± 5%▲ 9% ± 4% 3% ± 3%▼ BQ 2021 29.52% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Trois-Rivières 83%▲ 17%▼ <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Trois-Rivières

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 37% ± 7% NDP 9% ± 4% BQ 32% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Trois-Rivières 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Trois-Rivières

LPC <1% CPC 83% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 17% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Trois-Rivières



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 17.0% 28.5% 29.52% 32% ± 7% CPC 18.6% 25.2% 29.36% 37% ± 7% LPC 30.2% 26.1% 28.56% 18% ± 5% NDP 31.8% 16.7% 8.03% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 0.9% 1.92% 1% ± 1% GPC 1.7% 2.5% 1.35% 3% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0% ± 0%