logo
logo
Canada

Vaudreuil



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
Toss up LPC/BQ
Vaudreuil 30% ± 6% LPC 28% ± 6% BQ 21% ± 5% CPC 13% ± 4% NDP 5% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 47.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vaudreuil 65%▼ LPC 35%▲ BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vaudreuil

LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 21% ± 5% NDP 13% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 3% BQ 28% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Vaudreuil 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 37% BQ 24% CPC 22% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 36% BQ 25% CPC 21% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 37% BQ 24% CPC 21% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 38% BQ 23% CPC 22% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 38% CPC 23% BQ 22% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 38% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 36% CPC 23% BQ 23% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 35% BQ 23% CPC 23% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 35% BQ 23% CPC 22% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 36% BQ 23% CPC 22% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 36% BQ 23% CPC 22% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 36% BQ 23% CPC 22% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 37% BQ 23% CPC 21% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 38% BQ 23% CPC 21% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 37% CPC 23% BQ 22% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 38% CPC 22% BQ 22% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 39% CPC 22% BQ 21% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 38% BQ 22% CPC 21% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 37% BQ 22% CPC 21% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 34% BQ 26% CPC 20% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 20% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 20% NDP 13% GPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 20% NDP 13% GPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 34% BQ 27% CPC 19% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 34% BQ 27% CPC 19% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 34% BQ 27% CPC 19% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 33% BQ 28% CPC 20% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 33% BQ 28% CPC 20% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 32% BQ 28% CPC 21% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 31% BQ 28% CPC 21% NDP 12% GPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 30% BQ 28% CPC 21% NDP 13% GPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 30% BQ 28% CPC 21% NDP 13% GPC 5% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Vaudreuil

LPC 65% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 35% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 99% BQ 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 96% BQ 4% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 91% BQ 9% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 90% BQ 10% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 91% BQ 9% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 93% BQ 7% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 93% BQ 7% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 91% BQ 9% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 87% BQ 13% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 79% BQ 21% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 79% BQ 21% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 66% BQ 34% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 65% BQ 35% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Vaudreuil



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.5% 47.5% 30% ± 6% BQ 23.0% 21.0% 28% ± 6% CPC 11.6% 16.5% 21% ± 5% NDP 10.8% 10.6% 13% ± 4% GPC 5.0% 2.5% 5% ± 3% PPC 1.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.