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Canada

Vaudreuil


MP elect: Peter Schiefke (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Vaudreuil


Liberal Peter Schiefke*
Conservative Thomas Barre
NDP Kalden Dhatsenpa
Green Dave Hamelin-Schuilenburg
Bloc Quebecois Christopher Masse
PPC Jean Boily

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vaudreuil 58% ± 6% LPC 23% ± 5% CPC 15% ± 4% BQ LPC 2025 57.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vaudreuil >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vaudreuil

LPC 58% ± 6% CPC 23% ± 5% BQ 15% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Vaudreuil 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 29% LPC 29% CPC 24% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 29% BQ 29% CPC 24% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 30% BQ 28% CPC 24% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 31% BQ 28% CPC 23% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 35% BQ 26% CPC 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 37% BQ 25% CPC 22% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 39% BQ 24% CPC 22% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 42% BQ 22% CPC 21% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 43% BQ 22% CPC 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 45% BQ 21% CPC 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 47% BQ 20% CPC 20% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 47% BQ 20% CPC 20% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% BQ 20% CPC 20% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% BQ 20% CPC 20% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% BQ 20% CPC 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 47% BQ 21% CPC 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 51% BQ 19% CPC 19% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% CPC 19% BQ 19% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 16% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 16% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 15% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% CPC 18% BQ 15% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 15% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 58% CPC 18% BQ 15% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 18% BQ 15% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 15% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 16% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 15% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 16% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 54% CPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 54% CPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 54% CPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 15% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 15% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 15% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 15% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vaudreuil

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 44% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 50% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 57% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 68% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 96% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vaudreuil



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 58% ± 6% 48.5% 47.5% 57.9% CPC 23% ± 5% 11.6% 16.5% 22.8% BQ 15% ± 4% 23.0% 21.0% 14.9% NDP 2% ± 2% 10.8% 10.6% 2.3% GPC 1% ± 1% 5.0% 2.5% 1.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.