338Canada | Simcoe–Grey (Ontario federal district)




35099 - Simcoe–Grey

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 129,945 residents
Population density: 69.7 pop./km² (rank: 209 of 338)
Median household income: $77 431 (rank: 109 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Terry Dowdall (CPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Simcoe–Grey

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Simcoe–Grey

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Simcoe–Grey



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Simcoe–Grey



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Simcoe–Grey


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.9% ± 6.8% 47.1% Within confidence interval
28.8% ± 6.0% 27.8% Within confidence interval
13.1% ± 4.0% 13.4% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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