338Canada | Provencher (Manitoba federal district)




46008 - Provencher

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 99,945 residents
Population density: 5.52 pop./km² (rank: 285 of 338)
Median household income: $76 217 (rank: 116 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Ted Falk (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Provencher


Trevor Kirczenow
Ted Falk
Serina Pottinger
Janine Gibson
Nöel Gautron
Rick Loewen





Federal vote projection | Provencher

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Provencher

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Provencher



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Provencher



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Provencher


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
59.1% ± 8.8% 65.9% Within confidence interval
21.1% ± 6.7% 13.1% Outside confidence interval
5.4% ± 2.9% 12.8% Outside confidence interval
9.6% ± 4.1% 6.0% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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