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Canada


Provencher (federal)


MP: Ted Falk (CPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC safe hold
Provencher 50% ± 8% CPC 22% ± 6% LPC 17% ± 5% NDP 8% ± 5% PPC 4% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 48.74% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Provencher >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Provencher

LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 50% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 5% PPC 8% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Provencher 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | Provencher

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Provencher



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 56.1% 65.9% 48.74% 50% ± 8% LPC 34.7% 13.1% 17.0% 22% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 2.2% 16.39% 8% ± 5% NDP 5.3% 12.8% 12.58% 17% ± 5% GPC 4.0% 6.0% 2.55% 4% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%