338Canada | Provencher (Manitoba federal district)





46008 - Provencher

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 99,945 residents
Population density: 5.52 pop./km² (rank: 285 of 338)
Median household income: $76 217 (rank: 116 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Ted Falk (CPC)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Provencher

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Provencher

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Provencher



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Provencher



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Provencher


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
48.4% ± 7.2% 48.7% Within confidence interval
15.2% ± 4.8% 17.0% Within confidence interval
11.8% ± 4.4% 16.4% Outside confidence interval
16.8% ± 4.7% 12.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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