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Recent electoral history | Montmorency—Charlevoix


2019 2021 2025 Projection BQ 34% ± 7% 36.3% 36.7% 33.6% CPC 31% ± 6% 31.6% 33.9% 34.5% LPC 29% ± 6% 21.8% 20.2% 28.8% NDP 3% ± 2% 5.8% 4.6% 1.5%

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338Canada Montmorency—Charlevoix projection

Latest update: February 22, 2026

Montmorency—Charlevoix 28% 41% 34% ± 7% BQ 25% 37% 31% ± 6% CPC 23% 35% 29% ± 6% LPC 1% 5% 3% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 34.5% 338Canada vote projection | February 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Montmorency—Charlevoix 71%▲ BQ 21%▼ CPC 8%▼ LPC Odds of winning | February 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Montmorency—Charlevoix

LPC 29% ± 6% CPC 31% ± 6% BQ 34% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Montmorency—Charlevoix 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC February 22, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 35% BQ 34% LPC 25% NDP 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 34% BQ 34% LPC 25% NDP 3% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 34% BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 34% BQ 34% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 35% BQ 34% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 34% BQ 34% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 34% CPC 34% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 34% CPC 33% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 33% CPC 33% LPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 32% NDP 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 33% BQ 32% CPC 32% NDP 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 33% BQ 32% CPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 BQ 33% LPC 33% CPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 33% BQ 33% CPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 34% LPC 32% CPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 34% LPC 31% CPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 34% CPC 31% LPC 31% NDP 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 35% CPC 31% LPC 30% NDP 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 36% CPC 31% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 35% CPC 32% LPC 30% NDP 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 34% CPC 32% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 35% CPC 33% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 35% CPC 33% LPC 29% NDP 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 36% CPC 33% LPC 28% NDP 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 36% CPC 33% LPC 28% NDP 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 36% CPC 33% LPC 28% NDP 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 36% CPC 33% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 35% CPC 34% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 35% CPC 34% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 36% CPC 34% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 36% CPC 34% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 27% NDP 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 26% NDP 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 26% NDP 4% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 26% NDP 4% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 26% NDP 4% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 39% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 4% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 39% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 BQ 35% CPC 30% LPC 27% NDP 3% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 BQ 34% CPC 32% LPC 28% NDP 3% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 BQ 34% CPC 31% LPC 29% NDP 3% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 BQ 34% CPC 31% LPC 29% NDP 3% 2026-02-22

Odds of winning | Montmorency—Charlevoix

LPC 8% CPC 21% NDP <1% BQ 71% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ February 22, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 62% BQ 37% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 51% BQ 49% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 53% BQ 45% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 64% BQ 35% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 64% BQ 34% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 62% BQ 35% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 56% BQ 41% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 54% BQ 40% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 49% BQ 46% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 54% CPC 41% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 53% CPC 39% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 47% CPC 35% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 39% LPC 31% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 38% BQ 36% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 41% BQ 34% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 BQ 42% LPC 38% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 43% BQ 39% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 52% LPC 31% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 58% LPC 21% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 64% CPC 21% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 66% CPC 22% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 77% CPC 17% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 69% CPC 23% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 62% CPC 30% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 59% CPC 37% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 58% CPC 38% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 69% CPC 29% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 71% CPC 27% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 69% CPC 29% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 69% CPC 29% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 63% CPC 36% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 58% CPC 41% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 66% CPC 33% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 65% CPC 33% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 88% CPC 11% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 89% CPC 10% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 96% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 BQ 82% CPC 15% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 BQ 65% CPC 29% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 BQ 68% CPC 23% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 BQ 71% CPC 21% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2026-02-22


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Demographic data | Montmorency—Charlevoix

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 98.8% French 0.6% English 0.2% Spanish 0.1% Arabic 0.1% Portuguese 0.0% Mandarin 0.0% RussianMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 9.0% No diploma 16.3% High school 25.5% Trade 21.6% College / Cégep 3.8% Some university 15.9% Bachelor's 7.9% PostgraduateMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 98.0% Not visible minority 2.0% Visible minority 0.9% Black 0.3% Latin American 0.3% Arab 0.2% Chinese 0.1% Southeast Asian 0.1% South AsianMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 67.6% Catholic 24.1% No Religion 6.4% Christian (n.o.s.) 0.6% Muslim 0.2% Other Christian 0.2% Jehovah's Witness 0.2% Pentecostal 0.1% Other ReligionsMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 80.3% Owner 19.7% RenterMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 60.7% Employed 35.3% Not in labour force 4.0% UnemployedMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.2% Non-Indigenous 1.8% Indigenous identity 0.8% First Nations 0.7% Metis 0.1% OthersMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 93.2% Car / truck / van 3.2% Walking 1.7% Other 1.6% Public transit 0.4% BicycleMontmorency—CharlevoixSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.