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Canada


London–Fanshawe (federal)


MP: Lindsay Mathyssen (NDP)


Latest projection: October 1, 2023

NDP safe hold
London–Fanshawe 46% ± 8%▼ 30% ± 6%▲ 17% ± 5% 6% ± 5% NDP 2021 43.44% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% London–Fanshawe >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | October 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London–Fanshawe

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 30% ± 6% NDP 46% ± 8% PPC 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | London–Fanshawe 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | London–Fanshawe

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | London–Fanshawe



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 37.8% 40.8% 43.44% 46% ± 8% CPC 27.2% 24.8% 24.29% 30% ± 6% LPC 31.4% 26.9% 23.1% 17% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.0% 9.17% 6% ± 5% GPC 2.9% 5.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0% ± 0%