338Canada | Hochelaga (Québec federal district)




24028 - Hochelaga

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 106,500 residents
Population density: 5448 pop./km² (rank: 19 of 338)
Median household income: $46 365 (rank: 332 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Soraya Martinez (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Hochelaga


Soraya Martinez Ferrada
Aime Valle Cabrera
Catherine Roy-Goyette
Zachary Lavarenne
Simon Marchand
Marc-André Doucet-Beauchamp
Christine Dandenault (M-L)
Michelle Paquette (Comm.)
Alan Smithee (Rhino)





Federal vote projection | Hochelaga

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Hochelaga

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Hochelaga



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Hochelaga



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Hochelaga


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
30.5% ± 7.9% 34.0% Within confidence interval
39.2% ± 8.8% 33.3% Within confidence interval
17.3% ± 6.0% 21.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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