Candidates | Hull—Aylmer
Liberal | Greg Fergus* |
Conservative | Jill Declare |
NDP | Pascale Matecki |
Green | Frederic Morin-Paquette |
Bloc Quebecois | Alice Grondin |
PPC | Jean-Jacques Desgranges |
Marxist-Leninist | Alexandre Deschenes |
Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here.
This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional
polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls.
The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data.
Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada
Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%),
leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
Recent electoral history | Hull—Aylmer
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.