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Nunavut



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
NDP likely
Nunavut 52% ± 15% NDP 23% ± 12% LPC 21% ± 12%▲ CPC 3% ± 5% GPC NDP 2021 47.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nunavut >99%▲ NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Nunavut

LPC 23% ± 12% CPC 21% ± 12% NDP 52% ± 15% Popular vote projection % | Nunavut 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 49% LPC 25% CPC 22% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 49% LPC 25% CPC 22% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 49% LPC 25% CPC 22% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 50% LPC 25% CPC 22% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 50% LPC 25% CPC 21% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 51% LPC 25% CPC 21% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 52% LPC 25% CPC 20% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 52% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 52% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 51% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 51% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 51% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 53% LPC 24% CPC 19% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 53% LPC 23% CPC 19% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 53% LPC 24% CPC 19% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 51% LPC 25% CPC 19% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 50% LPC 26% CPC 19% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 51% LPC 25% CPC 19% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 48% LPC 26% CPC 21% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 49% LPC 26% CPC 21% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 49% LPC 25% CPC 21% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 52% LPC 23% CPC 21% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 52% LPC 23% CPC 21% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 52% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 52% LPC 24% CPC 20% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 52% LPC 23% CPC 20% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 49% LPC 25% CPC 21% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 49% LPC 26% CPC 21% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 50% LPC 25% CPC 21% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 50% LPC 24% CPC 21% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 52% LPC 23% CPC 20% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 52% LPC 23% CPC 21% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Nunavut

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Nunavut



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 40.8% 47.7% 52% ± 15% LPC 30.9% 35.9% 23% ± 12% CPC 26.1% 16.5% 21% ± 12% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 3% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.