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Canada

Nunavut


MP elect: Lori Idlout (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
Toss up LPC/NDP

Candidates | Nunavut


Liberal Kilikvak Kabloona
Conservative James T. Arreak
NDP Lori Idlout*

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Nunavut 37% ± 14% NDP 37% ± 14%▲ LPC 26% ± 13% CPC NDP 2025 37.3% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nunavut 51%▼ NDP 45%▲ LPC 5% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Nunavut

LPC 37% ± 14% CPC 26% ± 13% NDP 37% ± 14% Popular vote projection % | Nunavut 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 51% CPC 23% LPC 22% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 50% LPC 23% CPC 23% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 49% LPC 23% CPC 23% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 49% LPC 24% CPC 23% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 47% LPC 27% CPC 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 45% LPC 28% CPC 22% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 43% LPC 29% CPC 23% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 44% LPC 30% CPC 21% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 43% LPC 31% CPC 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 43% LPC 31% CPC 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 20% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 21% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 20% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 20% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 40% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 26% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 26% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 26% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 26% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Nunavut

LPC 45% CPC 5% NDP 51% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC 1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC 1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 98% LPC 1% CPC 1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC 1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 93% LPC 6% CPC 1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 88% LPC 10% CPC 2% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 87% LPC 12% CPC 1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 86% LPC 13% CPC 1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 85% LPC 15% CPC 1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC 1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 59% LPC 40% CPC 1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 53% LPC 46% CPC 1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 52% LPC 48% CPC 1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 50% LPC 49% CPC 1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% NDP 44% CPC 1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% NDP 42% CPC 1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 50% LPC 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 50% NDP 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 52% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 54% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 53% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 51% NDP 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% NDP 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 51% NDP 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 55% NDP 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 57% NDP 42% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 58% NDP 42% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 60% NDP 40% CPC 1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 62% NDP 38% CPC 1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 60% NDP 40% CPC 1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 60% NDP 40% CPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 54% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 54% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 51% LPC 45% CPC 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 52% LPC 44% CPC 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 52% LPC 44% CPC 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 51% LPC 45% CPC 5% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Nunavut



2019 2021 2025 Proj. NDP 37% ± 14% 40.8% 47.7% 37.3% LPC 37% ± 14% 30.9% 35.9% 36.7% CPC 26% ± 13% 26.1% 16.5% 26.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.