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Nunavut



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/NDP

Candidates | Nunavut


Liberal Kilikvak Kabloona
Conservative James T. Arreak
NDP Lori Idlout*

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Nunavut 39% ± 15% LPC 39% ± 15% NDP 20% ± 12% CPC NDP 2021 47.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nunavut 51% LPC 48% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Nunavut

LPC 39% ± 15% CPC 20% ± 12% NDP 39% ± 15% Popular vote projection % | Nunavut 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 43% LPC 31% CPC 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 43% LPC 31% CPC 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 20% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 38% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 38% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 21% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 21% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 21% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 39% NDP 38% CPC 20% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 39% NDP 39% CPC 20% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Nunavut

LPC 51% CPC <1% NDP 48% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 86% LPC 13% CPC 1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 85% LPC 15% CPC 1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC 1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 59% LPC 40% CPC 1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 53% LPC 46% CPC 1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 52% LPC 48% CPC 1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 50% LPC 49% CPC 1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% NDP 44% CPC 1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% NDP 42% CPC 1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 50% LPC 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 50% NDP 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC 1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 52% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 54% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 53% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 51% NDP 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% NDP 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% NDP 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% NDP 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Nunavut



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 30.9% 35.9% 39% ± 15% NDP 40.8% 47.7% 39% ± 15% CPC 26.1% 16.5% 20% ± 12% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 2% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.