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Recent electoral history | Nunavut


2019 2021 2025 Projection NDP 44% ± 15% 40.8% 47.7% 37.3% LPC 30% ± 14% 30.9% 35.9% 36.7% CPC 24% ± 13% 26.1% 16.5% 26.0%

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338Canada Nunavut projection

Latest update: January 25, 2026

Nunavut 29% 59% 44% ± 15% NDP 17% 44% 30% ± 14% LPC 11% 36% 24% ± 13% CPC NDP 2025 37.3% 338Canada vote projection | January 25, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nunavut 88%▼ NDP 10%▲ LPC 2% CPC Odds of winning | January 25, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Nunavut

LPC 30% ± 14% CPC 24% ± 13% NDP 44% ± 15% Popular vote projection % | Nunavut 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC January 25, 2026 2025-04-26 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 2026-01-25

Odds of winning | Nunavut

LPC 10% CPC 2% NDP 88% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 25, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 54% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 54% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% NDP 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 51% LPC 45% CPC 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 52% LPC 44% CPC 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 52% LPC 44% CPC 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 51% LPC 45% CPC 5% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 49% LPC 46% CPC 5% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 50% LPC 45% CPC 5% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 54% LPC 41% CPC 5% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 58% LPC 38% CPC 4% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 61% LPC 36% CPC 3% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 63% LPC 34% CPC 3% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 63% LPC 35% CPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 64% LPC 34% CPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 66% LPC 32% CPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 70% LPC 28% CPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 75% LPC 23% CPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 76% LPC 23% CPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 80% LPC 18% CPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 82% LPC 17% CPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 84% LPC 15% CPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 83% LPC 16% CPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 85% LPC 14% CPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 87% LPC 12% CPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 87% LPC 12% CPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 88% LPC 11% CPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 89% LPC 10% CPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 90% LPC 9% CPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 91% LPC 8% CPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 92% LPC 7% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 93% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 93% LPC 7% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 86% LPC 13% CPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 88% LPC 11% CPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 91% LPC 8% CPC 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 88% LPC 10% CPC 2% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 89% LPC 9% CPC 2% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 88% LPC 10% CPC 2% 2026-01-25


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Demographic data | Nunavut

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 51.9% English 45.9% Inuktitut 1.0% French 0.3% Tagalog 0.1% Spanish 0.1% Urdu 0.0% RussianNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 45.1% No diploma 17.1% High school 6.2% Trade 15.8% College / Cégep 1.6% Some university 8.8% Bachelor's 5.4% PostgraduateNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 96.4% Not visible minority 3.6% Visible minority 1.5% Black 0.9% Filipino 0.5% South Asian 0.2% Chinese 0.2% Latin American 0.1% MultipleNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 39.1% Anglican 24.9% No Religion 22.5% Catholic 5.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 4.0% Pentecostal 1.1% Other Christian 0.5% Indigenous Spirituality 0.5% United ChurchNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 80.8% Renter 19.2% OwnerNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 48.7% Employed 41.4% Not in labour force 9.9% UnemployedNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 85.8% Indigenous identity 14.2% Non-Indigenous 84.3% Inuk 0.5% Multiple 0.5% First Nations 0.3% Metis 0.1% OthersNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 52.0% Car / truck / van 35.9% Walking 11.0% Other 0.9% Public transit 0.2% BicycleNunavutSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.