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Canada


Nunavut


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
NDP likely
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Nunavut 49% ± 15% NDP 25% ± 13% LPC 22% ± 12% CPC 3% ± 5% GPC NDP 2021 47.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nunavut 98% NDP 1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Nunavut

LPC 25% ± 13% CPC 22% ± 12% NDP 49% ± 15% Popular vote projection % | Nunavut 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Nunavut

LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP 98% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Nunavut



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 40.8% 47.7% 49% ± 15% LPC 30.9% 35.9% 25% ± 13% CPC 26.1% 16.5% 22% ± 12% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 3% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.