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Canada


Markham–Thornhill (federal)


MP: Mary Ng (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
Markham–Thornhill 62% ± 8% LPC 25% ± 6% CPC 8% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 61.55% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Markham–Thornhill >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Markham–Thornhill

LPC 62% ± 8% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 8% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Markham–Thornhill 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Markham–Thornhill

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Markham–Thornhill



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.7% 53.9% 61.55% 62% ± 8% CPC 32.3% 34.6% 26.3% 25% ± 6% NDP 10.7% 7.3% 8.37% 8% ± 4% GPC 1.2% 2.8% 2.11% 4% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 0.8% 1.68% 1% ± 1% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%