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Canada

Yukon


MP: Brendan Hanley (LPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Yukon


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 53% ± 10% 33.5% 33.3% 53.1% CPC 38% ± 10% 32.7% 26.3% 38.5% NDP 6% ± 5% 22.0% 22.4% 6.3% GPC 2% ± 3% 10.5% 4.4% 2.1% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Yukon


Yukon 53% ± 10% LPC 38% ± 10%▼ CPC 6% ± 5% NDP LPC 2025 53.1% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Yukon 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Yukon

LPC 53% ± 10% CPC 38% ± 10% NDP 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Yukon 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 25% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 26% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 26% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 36% NDP 29% LPC 27% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 35% LPC 29% NDP 28% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 35% LPC 31% NDP 27% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 35% LPC 32% NDP 25% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 34% CPC 34% NDP 23% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 34% CPC 34% NDP 23% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 21% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 40% CPC 34% NDP 17% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 41% CPC 34% NDP 17% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 42% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 45% CPC 33% NDP 14% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 45% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 45% CPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 44% CPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 43% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Yukon

LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 79% NDP 19% LPC 2% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 79% NDP 17% LPC 4% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 79% NDP 16% LPC 5% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 78% NDP 15% LPC 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 70% LPC 18% NDP 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 68% LPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 66% LPC 32% NDP 3% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 51% CPC 47% NDP 1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 53% CPC 46% NDP 1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader