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Canada


Yukon (federal)


MP: Brendan Hanley (LPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
Yukon 33% ± 9% 32% ± 9% 28% ± 9%▲ 7% ± 5% LPC 2021 33.22% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Yukon 48%▼ 41% 11%▲ Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Yukon

LPC 32% ± 9% CPC 33% ± 9% NDP 28% ± 9% GPC 7% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Yukon 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Yukon

LPC 41% CPC 48% NDP 11% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Yukon



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 53.7% 33.5% 33.22% 32% ± 9% CPC 24.3% 32.7% 26.16% 33% ± 9% NDP 19.4% 22.0% 22.35% 28% ± 9% IND 0.0% 0.0% 13.55% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.6% 10.5% 4.72% 7% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0% ± 0%