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Yukon


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
CPC leaning
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Yukon 36% ± 9% CPC 30% ± 9% NDP 27% ± 9% LPC 6% ± 5% GPC LPC 2021 33.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Yukon 74%▼ CPC 19%▲ NDP 7% LPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Yukon

LPC 27% ± 9% CPC 36% ± 9% NDP 30% ± 9% GPC 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Yukon 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Yukon

LPC 7% CPC 74% NDP 19% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Yukon



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 33.5% 33.3% 27% ± 9% CPC 32.7% 26.3% 36% ± 9% NDP 22.0% 22.4% 30% ± 9% GPC 10.5% 4.4% 6% ± 5% PPC 1.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.