logo
Canada

Yukon


MP elect: Brendan Hanley (CPC)

Latest projection: May 18, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Yukon


Liberal Brendan Hanley*
Conservative Ryan Leef
NDP Katherine McCallum
Green Gabrielle Dupont

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Yukon 53% ± 9% LPC 39% ± 8%▲ CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2025 53.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 18, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Yukon 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 18, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Yukon

LPC 53% ± 9% CPC 39% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Yukon 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 18, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 25% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 26% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 26% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 36% NDP 29% LPC 27% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 35% LPC 29% NDP 28% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 35% LPC 31% NDP 27% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 35% LPC 32% NDP 25% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 34% CPC 34% NDP 23% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 34% CPC 34% NDP 23% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 21% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 40% CPC 34% NDP 17% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 41% CPC 34% NDP 17% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 42% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 45% CPC 33% NDP 14% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 45% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 45% CPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 44% CPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 43% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Yukon

LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 18, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 79% NDP 19% LPC 2% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 79% NDP 17% LPC 4% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 79% NDP 16% LPC 5% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 78% NDP 15% LPC 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 70% LPC 18% NDP 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 68% LPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 66% LPC 32% NDP 3% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 51% CPC 47% NDP 1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 53% CPC 46% NDP 1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Yukon



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 53% ± 9% 33.5% 33.3% 53.0% CPC 39% ± 8% 32.7% 26.3% 38.5% NDP 6% ± 4% 22.0% 22.4% 6.4% GPC 2% ± 2% 10.5% 4.4% 2.1% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.