logo
Canada


Dufferin—Caledon


Latest projection: June 9, 2024
CPC safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Dufferin—Caledon 60% ± 8%▼ CPC 18% ± 5%▲ LPC 10% ± 4% NDP 8% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 4% PPC CPC 2021 49.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dufferin—Caledon >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Dufferin—Caledon

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 60% ± 8% NDP 10% ± 4% GPC 8% ± 4% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Dufferin—Caledon 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC June 9, 2024

Odds of winning | Dufferin—Caledon

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP June 9, 2024

Recent electoral history | Dufferin—Caledon



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 43.0% 49.0% 60% ± 8% LPC 31.6% 28.6% 18% ± 5% NDP 10.9% 10.4% 10% ± 4% PPC 2.4% 7.1% 3% ± 4% GPC 11.6% 4.5% 8% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.