338Canada | Elgin–Middlesex–London (Ontario federal district)




35025 - Elgin–Middlesex–London

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 115,050 residents
Population density: 46.3 pop./km² (rank: 221 of 338)
Median household income: $71 540 (rank: 147 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Karen Vecchio (CPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Elgin–Middlesex–London

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Elgin–Middlesex–London

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Elgin–Middlesex–London



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Elgin–Middlesex–London



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Elgin–Middlesex–London


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.1% ± 6.7% 49.8% Outside confidence interval
29.7% ± 6.0% 19.6% Outside confidence interval
18.3% ± 4.7% 16.0% Within confidence interval
7.6% ± 3.7% 11.8% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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