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Elgin–Middlesex–London (federal)
MP: Karen Vecchio (CPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
CPC safe hold
Elgin–Middlesex–London
57% ± 8%
CPC
16% ± 5%
LPC
16% ± 5%
NDP
6% ± 4%
PPC
5% ± 3%
GPC
CPC 2021
49.83%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Elgin–Middlesex–London
>99%
CPC
<1%
LPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Elgin–Middlesex–London
LPC 16% ± 5%
CPC 57% ± 8%
NDP 16% ± 5%
GPC 5% ± 3%
PPC 6% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Elgin–Middlesex–London
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
PPC
Odds of winning | Elgin–Middlesex–London
LPC <1%
CPC >99%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Elgin–Middlesex–London
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
CPC
49.2%
50.2%
49.83%
57% ± 8%
LPC
31.0%
23.2%
19.57%
16% ± 5%
NDP
15.4%
17.8%
16.02%
16% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.5%
11.8%
6% ± 4%
GPC
3.1%
5.8%
2.25%
5% ± 3%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%