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Labrador

Latest update: January 11, 2026
L
MP: Philip Earle
Newfoundland and Labrador
LPC leaning

Recent electoral history | Labrador


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 46% ± 13% 42.5% 42.7% 51.5% CPC 40% ± 13% 31.1% 30.4% 41.7% NDP 12% ± 8% 24.5% 23.8% 6.8% PPC 0% ± 2% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Labrador projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Labrador


Labrador 33% 59% 46% ± 13% LPC 28% 53% 40% ± 13% CPC 3% 20% 12% ± 8% NDP LPC 2025 51.5% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Labrador 72%▼ LPC 28%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Labrador

LPC 46% ± 13% CPC 40% ± 13% NDP 12% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Labrador 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 52% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 55% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 46% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Labrador

LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2026-01-11