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Recent electoral history | Labrador


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 49% ± 13% 42.5% 42.7% 51.5% CPC 38% ± 12% 31.1% 30.4% 41.7% NDP 10% ± 8% 24.5% 23.8% 6.8% PPC 0% ± 2% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Labrador projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Labrador 37% 62% 49% ± 13% LPC 26% 51% 38% ± 12% CPC 2% 18% 10% ± 8% NDP LPC 2025 51.5% 338Canada vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Labrador 86%▲ LPC 14%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Labrador

LPC 49% ± 13% CPC 38% ± 12% NDP 10% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Labrador 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 52% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 55% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 46% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 46% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 46% CPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 11% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Labrador

LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2026-02-08


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Demographic data | Labrador

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 92.3% English 5.0% Innu 5.0% Algonquian 0.9% Tagalog 0.8% French 0.2% Punjabi 0.2% InuktitutLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 13.9% No diploma 23.4% High school 15.7% Trade 29.9% College / Cégep 1.8% Some university 11.2% Bachelor's 4.1% PostgraduateLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 95.1% Not visible minority 4.9% Visible minority 2.7% Filipino 1.1% South Asian 0.4% Black 0.1% Multiple 0.1% Latin American 0.1% ArabLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 26.4% Catholic 21.6% Anglican 17.2% No Religion 10.2% Other Christian 9.7% United Church 7.6% Pentecostal 2.9% Methodist 2.3% Christian (n.o.s.)LabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 71.5% Owner 24.7% Renter 3.8% Community housingLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 59.1% Employed 32.4% Not in labour force 8.5% UnemployedLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 56.9% Non-Indigenous 43.1% Indigenous identity 19.4% Inuk 12.4% Metis 9.9% First Nations 1.0% Multiple 0.4% OthersLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 86.8% Car / truck / van 6.8% Other 5.5% Walking 0.7% Public transit 0.2% BicycleLabradorSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.