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Canada

Labrador


MP elect: Philip Earle (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Labrador


Liberal Philip Earle
Conservative Ella Wallace
NDP Marius Normore

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Labrador 52% ± 12%▲ LPC 42% ± 12% CPC 7% ± 6% NDP LPC 2025 51.5% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Labrador 83%▲ LPC 17%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Labrador

LPC 52% ± 12% CPC 42% ± 12% NDP 7% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Labrador 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 46% LPC 28% NDP 23% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 46% LPC 28% NDP 23% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 45% LPC 28% NDP 23% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 44% LPC 30% NDP 23% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 19% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 18% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 43% CPC 35% NDP 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 9% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 9% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 51% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 52% CPC 42% NDP 7% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Labrador

LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 97% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 96% LPC 3% NDP 1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 95% LPC 4% NDP 1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 92% LPC 7% NDP 1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 83% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Labrador



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 52% ± 12% 42.5% 42.7% 51.5% CPC 42% ± 12% 31.1% 30.4% 41.7% NDP 7% ± 6% 24.5% 23.8% 6.8% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.