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Canada

Labrador



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Labrador


Liberal Philip Earle
Conservative Ella Wallace
NDP Marius Normore

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Labrador 56% ± 13% LPC 34% ± 13% CPC 10% ± 8% NDP LPC 2021 42.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Labrador 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Labrador

LPC 56% ± 13% CPC 34% ± 13% NDP 10% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Labrador 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Labrador

LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Labrador



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 42.5% 42.7% 56% ± 13% CPC 31.1% 30.4% 34% ± 13% NDP 24.5% 23.8% 10% ± 8% PPC 0.0% 3.2% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.