Toronto
Beaches–East York Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Eglinton–Lawrence Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke–Lakeshore Etobicoke North Parkdale–High Park Toronto–St. Paul's Scarborough–Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough–Guildwood Scarborough North Scarborough–Rouge Park Scarborough Southwest Spadina–Fort York Toronto Centre Toronto–Danforth University–Rosedale Willowdale York Centre York South–Weston Humber River–Black Creek
GTA-905
Ajax Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West Burlington Durham King–Vaughan Markham–Stouffville Markham–Thornhill Markham–Unionville Milton Mississauga Centre Mississauga East–Cooksville Mississauga–Erin Mills Mississauga–Lakeshore Mississauga–Malton Mississauga–Streetsville Newmarket–Aurora Oakville Oakville North–Burlington Oshawa Pickering–Uxbridge Richmond Hill Thornhill Vaughan–Woodbridge Whitby York–Simcoe
Ottawa
Kanata–Carleton Nepean Ottawa Centre Orléans Ottawa South Ottawa–Vanier Ottawa West–Nepean Carleton
Eastern Ontario
Bay of Quinte Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Hastings–Lennox and Addington Kingston and the Islands Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry
Hamilton-Niagara
Flamborough–Glanbrook Hamilton Centre Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Hamilton Mountain Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Niagara Centre Niagara Falls Niagara West St. Catharines
Southwestern Ontario
Brantford–Brant Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound Cambridge Chatham-Kent–Leamington Elgin–Middlesex–London Essex Guelph Haldimand–Norfolk Huron–Bruce Kitchener Centre Kitchener–Conestoga Kitchener South–Hespeler Lambton–Kent–Middlesex London–Fanshawe London North Centre London West Oxford Perth–Wellington Sarnia–Lambton Waterloo Wellington–Halton Hills Windsor–Tecumseh Windsor West
Centre of Ontario
Barrie–Innisfil Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Dufferin–Caledon Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock Northumberland–Peterborough South Peterborough–Kawartha Simcoe–Grey Simcoe North
Northern Ontario
Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Kenora Nickel Belt Nipissing–Timiskaming Parry Sound–Muskoka Sault Ste. Marie Sudbury Thunder Bay–Rainy River Thunder Bay–Superior North Timmins–James Bay

35088 - Carleton

Province: Ontario

Population (2016): 102,915 residents

Population density: 87.4 pop./km² (rank: 203 of 338)

Median household income: $117 649 (rank: 6 of 338)

Member of Parliament: Pierre Poilievre (CPC)

Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

Federal vote projection | Carleton

Last update: July 25, 2021

Odds of winning | Carleton

Last update: July 25, 2021

Electoral history of Carleton

(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)

Map of Carleton

(Credits: Elections Canada)

Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Carleton

On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.

Carleton

	Final 2019 Projection	2019 Result	The Record
Winner			Correct winner
	47.8% ± 8.9%	46.3%	Within confidence interval
	34.0% ± 8.3%	38.2%	Within confidence interval
	6.4% ± 3.1%	9.3%	Within confidence interval
	8.5% ± 3.8%	4.9%	Within confidence interval

*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.

Province:	Ontario
Population (2016):	102,915 residents
Population density:	87.4 pop./km² (rank: 203 of 338)
Median household income:	$117 649 (rank: 6 of 338)
Member of Parliament:	Pierre Poilievre (CPC)