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Carleton (federal)
MP: Pierre Poilievre (CPC)
Latest projection: January 29, 2023
CPC safe hold
Carleton
55% ± 8%
CPC
27% ± 7%
LPC
13% ± 5%
NDP
4% ± 3%
GPC
CPC 2021
49.89%
338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50%
100%
Carleton
>99%
CPC
<1%
LPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | January 29, 2023
Popular vote projection | Carleton
LPC 27% ± 7%
CPC 55% ± 8%
NDP 13% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Carleton
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
Odds of winning | Carleton
LPC <1%
CPC >99%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Carleton
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
CPC
46.9%
46.3%
49.89%
55% ± 8%
LPC
43.7%
38.2%
34.28%
27% ± 7%
NDP
6.1%
9.3%
11.52%
13% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.1%
2.44%
1% ± 1%
GPC
3.3%
4.9%
1.87%
4% ± 3%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%