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Canada


Carleton (federal)


MP: Pierre Poilievre (CPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

CPC safe hold
Carleton 55% ± 8% CPC 27% ± 7% LPC 13% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 49.89% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Carleton >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Carleton

LPC 27% ± 7% CPC 55% ± 8% NDP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Carleton 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Carleton

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Carleton



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 46.9% 46.3% 49.89% 55% ± 8% LPC 43.7% 38.2% 34.28% 27% ± 7% NDP 6.1% 9.3% 11.52% 13% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.1% 2.44% 1% ± 1% GPC 3.3% 4.9% 1.87% 4% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%