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Canada

Prescott—Russell—Cumberland



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
CPC leaning
Prescott—Russell—Cumberland 41% ± 7%▼ CPC 37% ± 7%▲ LPC 12% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 47.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Prescott—Russell—Cumberland 80%▼ CPC 20%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland

LPC 37% ± 7% CPC 41% ± 7% NDP 12% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 43% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 43% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 42% LPC 38% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 42% LPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 42% LPC 38% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 44% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 42% LPC 35% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 42% LPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland

LPC 20% CPC 80% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Prescott—Russell—Cumberland



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.8% 47.2% 37% ± 7% CPC 34.8% 32.4% 41% ± 7% NDP 10.4% 10.8% 12% ± 4% PPC 1.7% 6.4% 3% ± 4% GPC 3.3% 2.0% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.