338Canada | Carleton (Ontario federal district)




35088 - Carleton

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 102,915 residents
Population density: 87.4 pop./km² (rank: 203 of 338)
Median household income: $117 649 (rank: 6 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Pierre Poilievre (CPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Carleton

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Carleton

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Carleton



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Carleton




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Carleton



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Carleton


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
47.8% ± 8.9% 46.3% Within confidence interval
34.0% ± 8.3% 38.2% Within confidence interval
6.4% ± 3.1% 9.3% Within confidence interval
8.5% ± 3.8% 4.9% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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