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Canada

Sudbury



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Sudbury


Liberal Viviane Lapointe*
Conservative Ian Symington
NDP Nadia Verrelli
PPC Nicholas Bonderoff

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Sudbury 54% ± 8%▲ LPC 32% ± 7% CPC 12% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 35.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sudbury >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sudbury

LPC 54% ± 8% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Sudbury 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 37% CPC 35% NDP 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 34% NDP 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 42% CPC 33% NDP 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 43% CPC 32% NDP 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 43% CPC 32% NDP 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 43% CPC 32% NDP 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 15% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 47% CPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 48% CPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 49% CPC 32% NDP 13% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 49% CPC 32% NDP 13% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 49% CPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 50% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 51% CPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 51% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 51% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 51% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 51% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Sudbury

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Sudbury



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 40.7% 35.0% 54% ± 8% CPC 21.0% 27.8% 32% ± 7% NDP 29.0% 28.9% 12% ± 5% PPC 1.9% 6.1% 2% ± 3% GPC 6.6% 2.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.