logo
Canada


Winnipeg North (federal)


MP: Kevin Lamoureux (LPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

LPC likely hold
Winnipeg North 46% ± 7% 37% ± 7% 14% ± 5% LPC 2021 52.14% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Winnipeg North 92%▼ 8%▲ <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg North

LPC 46% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% NDP 37% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Winnipeg North

LPC 92% CPC <1% NDP 8% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Winnipeg North



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 68.9% 47.6% 52.14% 46% ± 7% NDP 13.4% 25.9% 28.65% 37% ± 7% CPC 15.3% 20.8% 13.05% 14% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 4.44% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 2.8% 1.36% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0% ± 0%