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Canada

Charlottetown



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
CPC likely
Charlottetown 44% ± 10% CPC 32% ± 9% LPC 12% ± 6% NDP 10% ± 7% GPC LPC 2021 46.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlottetown 95%▲ CPC 5%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlottetown

LPC 32% ± 9% CPC 44% ± 10% NDP 12% ± 6% GPC 10% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Charlottetown 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 46% LPC 34% GPC 9% NDP 9% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 9% GPC 9% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 46% LPC 34% NDP 9% GPC 9% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 46% LPC 34% NDP 10% GPC 9% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 45% LPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 9% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 44% LPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 9% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 39% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 39% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 9% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 9% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 9% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 10% GPC 10% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 45% LPC 34% GPC 10% NDP 9% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 45% LPC 34% GPC 10% NDP 9% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 45% LPC 33% GPC 10% NDP 10% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 45% LPC 34% NDP 10% GPC 10% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 10% GPC 10% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 44% LPC 33% NDP 10% GPC 10% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 44% LPC 33% GPC 10% NDP 10% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 44% LPC 33% GPC 11% NDP 11% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 11% GPC 10% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 42% LPC 35% NDP 11% GPC 10% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 11% GPC 10% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 43% LPC 33% NDP 11% GPC 10% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 10% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 10% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Charlottetown

LPC 5% CPC 95% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Charlottetown



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.3% 46.7% 32% ± 9% CPC 20.3% 31.1% 44% ± 10% NDP 11.2% 10.7% 12% ± 6% GPC 23.3% 9.6% 10% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 1.9% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.