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Canada


Charlottetown (federal)


MP: Sean Casey (LPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Charlottetown 37% ± 10% 36% ± 9% 14% ± 7% 12% ± 6% LPC 2021 46.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Charlottetown 57% 43% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlottetown

LPC 37% ± 10% CPC 36% ± 9% NDP 12% ± 6% GPC 14% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Charlottetown 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Charlottetown

LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Charlottetown



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 56.3% 44.3% 46.7% 37% ± 10% CPC 14.8% 20.3% 31.06% 36% ± 9% NDP 23.1% 11.2% 10.72% 12% ± 6% GPC 5.8% 23.3% 9.59% 14% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 1.93% 1% ± 2%