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Canada

Charlottetown


MP: Sean Casey (LPC)

Latest projection: July 20, 2025
LPC safe

Recent electoral history | Charlottetown


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 66% ± 10% 44.3% 46.7% 64.8% CPC 27% ± 9% 20.3% 31.1% 29.1% NDP 5% ± 5% 11.2% 10.7% 4.3% GPC 1% ± 2% 23.3% 9.6% 1.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Charlottetown


Charlottetown 66% ± 10% LPC 27% ± 9% CPC 5% ± 5% NDP LPC 2025 64.8% 338Canada vote projection | July 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlottetown >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlottetown

LPC 66% ± 10% CPC 27% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Charlottetown 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 20, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 47% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 46% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 52% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 66% CPC 28% NDP 4% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 67% CPC 27% NDP 4% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 67% CPC 27% NDP 5% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 66% CPC 27% NDP 5% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 66% CPC 27% NDP 5% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 66% CPC 27% NDP 5% 2025-07-20 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Charlottetown

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 20, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader