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Canada

Charlottetown



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Charlottetown


Liberal Sean Casey*
Conservative Natalie Jameson
NDP Joe Byrne
Green Daniel Cousins
PPC Bob Lucas

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Charlottetown 56% ± 11% LPC 33% ± 10% CPC 6% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 46.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlottetown >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlottetown

LPC 56% ± 11% CPC 33% ± 10% NDP 6% ± 5% GPC 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Charlottetown 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% GPC 10% NDP 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% CPC 32% GPC 10% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 31% GPC 10% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 52% CPC 31% GPC 9% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 31% GPC 9% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 52% CPC 30% GPC 9% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 30% GPC 9% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% CPC 30% GPC 9% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 55% CPC 29% GPC 9% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% CPC 29% GPC 9% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 55% CPC 29% GPC 8% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 55% CPC 29% GPC 8% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 30% GPC 8% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 30% GPC 8% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 54% CPC 32% GPC 8% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% CPC 33% GPC 6% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Charlottetown

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Charlottetown



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.3% 46.7% 56% ± 11% CPC 20.3% 31.1% 33% ± 10% NDP 11.2% 10.7% 6% ± 5% GPC 23.3% 9.6% 4% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.9% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.