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Canada

Charlottetown


MP elect: Sean Casey (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Charlottetown


Liberal Sean Casey*
Conservative Natalie Jameson
NDP Joe Byrne
Green Daniel Cousins
PPC Bob Lucas

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Charlottetown 65% ± 9% LPC 29% ± 8% CPC 4% ± 4% NDP LPC 2025 64.8% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlottetown >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlottetown

LPC 65% ± 9% CPC 29% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Charlottetown 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 47% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 46% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 52% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 65% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Charlottetown

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Charlottetown



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 65% ± 9% 44.3% 46.7% 64.8% CPC 29% ± 8% 20.3% 31.1% 29.1% NDP 4% ± 4% 11.2% 10.7% 4.3% GPC 1% ± 2% 23.3% 9.6% 1.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.