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Canada

Brampton West


Latest projection: September 8, 2024
LPC likely
Brampton West 46% ± 9% LPC 35% ± 8% CPC 13% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 56.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton West 93%▼ LPC 7%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | September 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton West

LPC 46% ± 9% CPC 35% ± 8% NDP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Brampton West 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 45% CPC 37% NDP 14% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 45% CPC 37% NDP 14% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 46% CPC 35% NDP 14% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 15% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 44% CPC 36% NDP 15% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 44% CPC 36% NDP 15% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 14% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 46% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 46% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2024-09-08

Odds of winning | Brampton West

LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-09-08

Recent electoral history | Brampton West



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 54.1% 56.3% 46% ± 9% CPC 23.3% 27.7% 35% ± 8% NDP 18.6% 12.8% 13% ± 5% PPC 0.9% 2.5% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.