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Recent electoral history | Brampton West


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 47% ± 8% 54.1% 56.3% 47.6% CPC 45% ± 8% 23.3% 27.7% 49.8% NDP 4% ± 3% 18.6% 12.8% 1.7%

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338Canada Brampton West projection

Latest update: February 15, 2026

Brampton West 39% 55% 47% ± 8% LPC 37% 53% 45% ± 8% CPC 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 49.8% 338Canada vote projection | February 15, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton West 64%▲ LPC 36%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 15, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Brampton West

LPC 47% ± 8% CPC 45% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Brampton West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND February 15, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 41% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 47% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 49% CPC 47% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 50% CPC 47% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 48% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 49% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 49% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 46% LPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2026-02-15

Odds of winning | Brampton West

LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 15, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2026-02-15


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Demographic data | Brampton West

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 61.0% English 18.6% Punjabi 3.3% Urdu 3.1% Hindi 2.9% Gujarati 2.4% Tamil 1.0% TagalogBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 8.8% No diploma 21.9% High school 3.7% Trade 18.8% College / Cégep 3.3% Some university 26.8% Bachelor's 16.7% PostgraduateBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 88.5% Visible minority 11.5% Not visible minority 57.4% South Asian 17.3% Black 3.5% Filipino 3.0% Other 2.1% Multiple 1.4% Latin AmericanBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 24.7% Sikh 21.4% Hindu 15.7% Catholic 10.5% Muslim 9.7% Christian (n.o.s.) 8.2% No Religion 3.4% Pentecostal 1.5% Other ChristianBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 85.8% Owner 14.2% RenterBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 62.2% Employed 28.9% Not in labour force 8.9% UnemployedBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 99.7% Non-Indigenous 0.3% Indigenous identity 0.2% First Nations 0.1% MetisBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 87.0% Car / truck / van 9.4% Public transit 2.4% Other 1.1% Walking 0.1% BicycleBrampton WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.