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Canada

Brampton West


MP elect: Amarjeet Gill (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Brampton West


Liberal Kamal Khera*
Conservative Amarjeet Gill
NDP Zaigham Javed
Green Sameera Khan
Centrist Khawaja Amir Hassan

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brampton West 50% ± 0%▲ CPC 48% ± 0%▼ LPC CPC 2025 50.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton West 68%▲ CPC 32%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton West

LPC 48% ± 0% CPC 50% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Brampton West 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 57% CPC 31% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 59% CPC 30% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 59% CPC 29% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 60% CPC 29% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 59% CPC 29% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 60% CPC 29% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 60% CPC 29% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 61% CPC 29% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 61% CPC 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 62% CPC 29% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 62% CPC 29% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 63% CPC 29% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 63% CPC 29% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 62% CPC 29% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 63% CPC 29% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 64% CPC 29% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 63% CPC 29% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 63% CPC 29% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 64% CPC 29% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 64% CPC 29% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 63% CPC 30% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 63% CPC 30% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 64% CPC 29% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 29% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 58% CPC 34% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 58% CPC 34% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 58% CPC 34% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 37% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 54% CPC 38% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 54% CPC 38% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 48% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton West

LPC 32% CPC 68% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton West



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 50% ± 0% 23.3% 27.7% 50.0% LPC 48% ± 0% 54.1% 56.3% 47.5% NDP 2% ± 0% 18.6% 12.8% 1.7% GPC 1% ± 0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.7% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.9% 2.5% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.