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Brampton West

Latest update: January 11, 2026
C
MP: Amarjeet Gill
Ontario
CPC leaning

Recent electoral history | Brampton West


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 47% ± 8% 23.3% 27.7% 49.8% LPC 43% ± 8% 54.1% 56.3% 47.6% NDP 6% ± 4% 18.6% 12.8% 1.7%

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338Canada Brampton West projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Brampton-Ouest


Brampton West 39% 55% 47% ± 8% CPC 35% 51% 43% ± 8% LPC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% NDP CPC 2025 49.8% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton West 72%▲ CPC 28%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton West

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 47% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 41% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 47% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 50% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 49% CPC 47% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 50% CPC 47% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 48% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 49% CPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 2% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 49% LPC 48% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 49% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 50% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 49% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 49% LPC 46% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Brampton West

LPC 28% CPC 72% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2026-01-11