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Canada

Louis-Hébert



Latest projection: December 29, 2024
CPC leaning
Louis-Hébert 33% ± 7% CPC 28% ± 6% BQ 24% ± 6% LPC 9% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 29, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Hébert 84% CPC 15% BQ 1% LPC Odds of winning | December 29, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Hébert

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 9% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 28% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Hébert 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ December 29, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 32% BQ 28% LPC 27% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 31% LPC 29% BQ 27% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 33% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 24% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 33% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 33% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 32% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 32% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 32% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 31% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 31% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 32% LPC 28% BQ 25% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 32% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 31% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 30% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 31% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 31% LPC 27% BQ 27% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 30% LPC 28% BQ 27% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 29% LPC 28% BQ 27% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 29% LPC 29% BQ 27% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 29% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 30% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 30% LPC 28% BQ 27% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 31% BQ 28% LPC 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 32% BQ 27% LPC 26% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 31% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 31% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 33% BQ 28% LPC 24% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 33% BQ 28% LPC 24% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-12-29

Odds of winning | Louis-Hébert

LPC 1% CPC 84% NDP <1% BQ 15% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ December 29, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 84% LPC 11% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 72% BQ 16% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 63% LPC 24% BQ 13% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 79% LPC 18% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 83% LPC 16% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 82% LPC 17% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 86% LPC 10% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 86% LPC 8% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 83% LPC 10% BQ 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 81% LPC 12% BQ 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 79% LPC 14% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 79% LPC 14% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 66% LPC 28% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 66% LPC 28% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 79% LPC 18% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 69% LPC 28% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 59% LPC 40% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 58% LPC 39% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 61% LPC 30% BQ 9% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 60% LPC 29% BQ 10% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 66% LPC 21% BQ 13% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 67% LPC 19% BQ 15% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 58% LPC 26% BQ 16% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 46% LPC 35% BQ 19% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 40% LPC 38% BQ 22% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 43% LPC 33% BQ 24% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 48% LPC 26% BQ 26% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 59% BQ 21% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 72% BQ 18% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 77% BQ 16% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 67% BQ 27% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 66% BQ 28% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 84% BQ 15% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 84% BQ 15% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-12-29

Recent electoral history | Louis-Hébert



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 18.0% 24.3% 33% ± 7% BQ 27.9% 27.0% 28% ± 6% LPC 40.3% 38.2% 24% ± 6% NDP 7.8% 7.2% 9% ± 4% GPC 3.9% 2.6% 4% ± 3% PPC 1.7% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.