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Canada

Louis-Hébert


MP elect: Joel Lightbound (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Louis-Hébert


Liberal Joel Lightbound*
Conservative Claude Dussault
NDP Jean-Paul Lussiaa-Berdou
Bloc Quebecois Valerie Savard
PPC Vatthana Maholy

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Louis-Hébert 55% ± 0%▲ LPC 21% ± 0%▲ BQ 20% ± 0%▼ CPC 3% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 55.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Hébert >99%▲ LPC <1% BQ <1%▼ CPC Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Hébert

LPC 55% ± 0% CPC 20% ± 0% BQ 21% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Hébert 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC BQ April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 35% CPC 31% BQ 22% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 37% CPC 30% BQ 22% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 42% CPC 28% BQ 20% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 42% CPC 27% BQ 20% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 43% CPC 28% BQ 20% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 43% CPC 28% BQ 19% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 43% CPC 28% BQ 19% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 44% CPC 29% BQ 19% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 44% CPC 28% BQ 18% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% CPC 29% BQ 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 46% CPC 29% BQ 16% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 47% CPC 29% BQ 16% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 47% CPC 29% BQ 16% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 29% BQ 16% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 30% BQ 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 30% BQ 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 48% CPC 29% BQ 16% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 48% CPC 29% BQ 16% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 50% CPC 30% BQ 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 30% BQ 16% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 49% CPC 30% BQ 16% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 31% BQ 16% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 48% CPC 31% BQ 15% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 49% CPC 31% BQ 15% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 51% CPC 29% BQ 15% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 51% CPC 29% BQ 15% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 50% CPC 30% BQ 15% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 50% CPC 30% BQ 15% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 50% CPC 30% BQ 15% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 49% CPC 30% BQ 16% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 46% CPC 30% BQ 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 46% CPC 31% BQ 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 45% CPC 32% BQ 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 44% CPC 32% BQ 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 44% CPC 33% BQ 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 44% CPC 33% BQ 18% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 45% CPC 32% BQ 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 55% BQ 21% CPC 20% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Louis-Hébert

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 78% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 89% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Louis-Hébert



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 55% ± 0% 40.3% 38.2% 55.4% BQ 21% ± 0% 27.9% 27.0% 21.4% CPC 20% ± 0% 18.0% 24.3% 20.2% NDP 3% ± 0% 7.8% 7.2% 2.5% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.6% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.9% 2.6% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.