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Canada

Louis-Hébert



Latest projection: March 25, 2025
LPC likely
Louis-Hébert 42% ± 8%▲ LPC 28% ± 7%▼ CPC 20% ± 5%▼ BQ 4% ± 3%▼ NDP 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 38.2% 338Canada vote projection | March 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Hébert >99%▲ LPC <1%▼ CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | March 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Hébert

LPC 42% ± 8% CPC 28% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Hébert 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ March 25, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 35% CPC 31% BQ 22% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 37% CPC 30% BQ 22% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 42% CPC 28% BQ 20% NDP 4% GPC 4% 2025-03-25 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Louis-Hébert

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 25, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Louis-Hébert



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 40.3% 38.2% 42% ± 8% CPC 18.0% 24.3% 28% ± 7% BQ 27.9% 27.0% 20% ± 5% NDP 7.8% 7.2% 4% ± 3% GPC 3.9% 2.6% 4% ± 3% PPC 1.7% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.