logo
logo
Canada

Louis-Hébert


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
CPC leaning
Louis-Hébert 32% ± 7% CPC 27% ± 6% LPC 26% ± 6% BQ 8% ± 3% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Hébert 79%▼ CPC 14%▲ LPC 8%▲ BQ Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Hébert

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 8% ± 3% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 26% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Hébert 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 32% BQ 28% LPC 27% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 31% LPC 29% BQ 27% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 33% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 24% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 33% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 33% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 32% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 32% LPC 27% BQ 26% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | Louis-Hébert

LPC 14% CPC 79% NDP <1% BQ 8% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 84% LPC 11% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 72% BQ 16% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 63% LPC 24% BQ 13% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 79% LPC 18% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 83% LPC 16% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 82% LPC 17% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 86% LPC 10% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 86% LPC 8% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 83% LPC 10% BQ 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 81% LPC 12% BQ 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 79% LPC 14% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | Louis-Hébert



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 40.3% 38.2% 27% ± 6% BQ 27.9% 27.0% 26% ± 6% CPC 18.0% 24.3% 32% ± 7% NDP 7.8% 7.2% 8% ± 3% GPC 3.9% 2.6% 4% ± 3% PPC 1.7% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.