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Canada

Louis-Hébert



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Louis-Hébert


Liberal Joel Lightbound*
Conservative Claude Dussault
NDP Jean-Paul Lussiaa-Berdou
Bloc Quebecois Valerie Savard
PPC Vatthana Maholy

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Louis-Hébert 49% ± 8%▲ LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 15% ± 5% BQ 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2021 38.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Hébert >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Hébert

LPC 49% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Hébert 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 35% CPC 31% BQ 22% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 37% CPC 30% BQ 22% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 39% CPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 42% CPC 28% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 42% CPC 27% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 43% CPC 28% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 43% CPC 28% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 43% CPC 28% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 44% CPC 29% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 44% CPC 28% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% CPC 29% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 46% CPC 29% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 47% CPC 29% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 47% CPC 29% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 29% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 30% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 30% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 48% CPC 29% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 48% CPC 29% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 50% CPC 30% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 30% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 49% CPC 30% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 31% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 48% CPC 31% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 49% CPC 31% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Louis-Hébert

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Louis-Hébert



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 40.3% 38.2% 49% ± 8% CPC 18.0% 24.3% 31% ± 7% BQ 27.9% 27.0% 15% ± 5% NDP 7.8% 7.2% 4% ± 3% PPC 1.7% 0.0% 1% ± 2% GPC 3.9% 2.6% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.