338Canada | Mégantic–L`Érable (Québec federal district)




24047 - Mégantic–L`Érable

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 87,235 residents
Population density: 14.7 pop./km² (rank: 256 of 338)
Median household income: $50 023 (rank: 321 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Luc Berthold (CPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Mégantic–L`Érable

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Mégantic–L`Érable

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Mégantic–L`Érable



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Mégantic–L`Érable




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Mégantic–L`Érable



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Mégantic–L`Érable


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
31.6% ± 7.9% 49.2% Outside confidence interval
22.8% ± 7.3% 25.8% Within confidence interval
26.1% ± 7.2% 15.6% Outside confidence interval
10.1% ± 4.3% 4.1% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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