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Canada

Mirabel



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
BQ safe
Mirabel 51% ± 8%▼ BQ 19% ± 6% CPC 13% ± 5% LPC 9% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 45.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mirabel >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Mirabel



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 49.6% 45.8% 51% ± 8% CPC 9.1% 13.3% 19% ± 6% LPC 26.1% 24.4% 13% ± 5% NDP 8.4% 8.6% 9% ± 4% GPC 5.3% 2.2% 4% ± 3% PPC 1.0% 3.8% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.