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Canada


Mégantic–L’Érable (federal)


MP: Luc Berthold (CPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC safe hold
Mégantic–L’Érable 63% ± 8% CPC 17% ± 6% BQ 12% ± 4% LPC 3% ± 2% NDP 3% ± 2% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC CPC 2021 56.26% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Mégantic–L’Érable >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Mégantic–L’Érable

LPC 12% ± 4% CPC 63% ± 8% BQ 17% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Mégantic–L’Érable 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC BQ

Odds of winning | Mégantic–L’Érable

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Mégantic–L’Érable



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 35.4% 49.2% 56.26% 63% ± 8% BQ 12.3% 25.8% 20.07% 17% ± 6% LPC 28.1% 15.6% 13.63% 12% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.7% 3.61% 2% ± 2% NDP 22.0% 4.1% 2.82% 3% ± 2% GPC 2.1% 2.6% 1.28% 3% ± 2%