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Mégantic–L’Érable (federal)
MP: Luc Berthold (CPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
CPC safe hold
Mégantic–L’Érable
63% ± 8%
CPC
17% ± 6%
BQ
12% ± 4%
LPC
3% ± 2%
NDP
3% ± 2%
GPC
2% ± 2%
PPC
CPC 2021
56.26%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Mégantic–L’Érable
>99%
CPC
<1%
BQ
<1%
LPC
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Mégantic–L’Érable
LPC 12% ± 4%
CPC 63% ± 8%
BQ 17% ± 6%
Popular vote projection % | Mégantic–L’Érable
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
BQ
Odds of winning | Mégantic–L’Érable
LPC <1%
CPC >99%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Mégantic–L’Érable
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
CPC
35.4%
49.2%
56.26%
63% ± 8%
BQ
12.3%
25.8%
20.07%
17% ± 6%
LPC
28.1%
15.6%
13.63%
12% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
1.7%
3.61%
2% ± 2%
NDP
22.0%
4.1%
2.82%
3% ± 2%
GPC
2.1%
2.6%
1.28%
3% ± 2%