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Canada

Winnipeg North



Latest projection: April 14, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Winnipeg North


Liberal Kevin Lamoureux*
Conservative Rachel Punzalan
NDP Adebayo Akinrogunde
Green Angela Brydges
PPC Jessica Bailon
Communist Sarah Borbridge

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Winnipeg North 69% ± 8% LPC 15% ± 6% CPC 12% ± 6% NDP LPC 2021 53.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 14, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Winnipeg North >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 14, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg North

LPC 69% ± 8% CPC 15% ± 6% NDP 12% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg North 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 14, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 59% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 62% NDP 18% CPC 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 70% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 70% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Winnipeg North

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 14, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Winnipeg North



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.4% 53.2% 69% ± 8% CPC 21.2% 13.5% 15% ± 6% NDP 24.9% 27.7% 12% ± 6% GPC 2.6% 1.2% 1% ± 2% PPC 1.0% 4.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.