338Canada | Winnipeg Centre (Manitoba federal district)




46011 - Winnipeg Centre

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 85,945 residents
Population density: 3021 pop./km² (rank: 50 of 338)
Median household income: $46 282 (rank: 333 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Leah Gazan (NDP)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Winnipeg Centre


Paul Ong
Sabrina Brenot
Leah Gazan
Andrew Brown
Bhavni Bhakoo
Jamie Buhler (Ltn.)
Debra Wall (Animal)





Federal vote projection | Winnipeg Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Winnipeg Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Winnipeg Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Winnipeg Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Winnipeg Centre


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
33.3% ± 9.2% 41.2% Within confidence interval
37.7% ± 9.1% 33.7% Within confidence interval
18.4% ± 6.3% 17.5% Within confidence interval
8.0% ± 3.9% 5.2% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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