logo
Canada

Winnipeg North


MP: Kevin Lamoureux (LPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Winnipeg North


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 58% ± 9% 48.4% 53.2% 57.9% CPC 34% ± 9% 21.2% 13.5% 34.4% NDP 6% ± 4% 24.9% 27.7% 6.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 4.0% 0.8% GPC 1% ± 1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Winnipeg-Nord


Winnipeg North 58% ± 9% LPC 34% ± 9% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2025 57.9% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Winnipeg North >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg North

LPC 58% ± 9% CPC 34% ± 9% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg North 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 45% NDP 29% CPC 22% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 46% NDP 28% CPC 21% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 47% NDP 28% CPC 21% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 48% NDP 28% CPC 20% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 51% NDP 27% CPC 19% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 55% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 57% NDP 20% CPC 18% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 59% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 59% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 62% NDP 18% CPC 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 70% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 70% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 70% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 70% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 70% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 71% CPC 14% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Winnipeg North

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader