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Canada

Winnipeg North


MP elect: Kevin Lamoureux (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Winnipeg North


Liberal Kevin Lamoureux*
Conservative Rachel Punzalan
NDP Adebayo Akinrogunde
Green Angela Brydges
PPC Jessica Bailon
Communist Sarah Borbridge

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Winnipeg North 58% ± 8% LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 6% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 57.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Winnipeg North >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg North

LPC 58% ± 8% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg North 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 45% NDP 29% CPC 22% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 46% NDP 28% CPC 21% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 47% NDP 28% CPC 21% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 48% NDP 28% CPC 20% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 51% NDP 27% CPC 19% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 55% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 57% NDP 20% CPC 18% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 59% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 59% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 62% NDP 18% CPC 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 68% CPC 15% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 13% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 69% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 70% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 70% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 70% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 70% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 69% CPC 15% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 70% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 69% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 70% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 71% CPC 14% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Winnipeg North

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Winnipeg North



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 58% ± 8% 48.4% 53.2% 57.9% CPC 34% ± 7% 21.2% 13.5% 34.4% NDP 6% ± 3% 24.9% 27.7% 6.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 4.0% 0.8% GPC 1% ± 1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.