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Canada

Brome—Missisquoi



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Brome—Missisquoi


Liberal Louis Villeneuve
Conservative Steve Charbonneau
NDP Zoe Larose
Green Michelle Corcos
Bloc Quebecois Jeff Boudreault
PPC Jack McLeod

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brome—Missisquoi 47% ± 8%▲ LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 20% ± 5%▼ BQ 4% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 35.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brome—Missisquoi >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brome—Missisquoi

LPC 47% ± 8% CPC 23% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Brome—Missisquoi 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 33% BQ 29% CPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 37% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 37% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 37% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 37% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 37% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 37% BQ 28% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 40% BQ 27% CPC 22% GPC 5% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 40% BQ 27% CPC 21% GPC 5% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 41% BQ 26% CPC 22% GPC 5% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 41% BQ 26% CPC 22% GPC 4% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 42% BQ 25% CPC 22% GPC 4% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 42% BQ 25% CPC 23% GPC 4% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 42% BQ 25% CPC 22% GPC 4% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 44% CPC 23% BQ 23% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 45% CPC 24% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 47% CPC 22% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 47% CPC 22% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 48% CPC 22% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 20% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brome—Missisquoi

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 76% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 88% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brome—Missisquoi



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 38.2% 35.0% 47% ± 8% CPC 12.5% 16.2% 23% ± 6% BQ 34.4% 34.6% 20% ± 5% NDP 8.0% 6.2% 4% ± 3% GPC 5.4% 2.4% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.7% 3.2% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.