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Canada

Cape Spear



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Cape Spear


Liberal Tom Osborne
Conservative Corey Curtis
NDP Brenda Walsh
Green Kaelem Tingate
Animal Protection Mike Peach

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Cape Spear 65% ± 8% LPC 23% ± 7% CPC 9% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 54.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cape Spear >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cape Spear

LPC 65% ± 8% CPC 23% ± 7% NDP 9% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Cape Spear 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 56% CPC 24% NDP 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 59% CPC 23% NDP 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 67% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 67% CPC 20% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 67% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 67% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 67% CPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 67% CPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 66% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 66% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 67% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 67% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 67% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 67% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 66% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 66% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 66% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 65% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 65% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 65% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 65% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Cape Spear

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Cape Spear



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.6% 54.7% 65% ± 8% CPC 19.6% 20.4% 23% ± 7% NDP 28.7% 23.1% 9% ± 5% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1% PPC 0.7% 1.8% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.