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Canada


Cape Spear


Latest projection: May 19, 2024
LPC likely
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Cape Spear 43% ± 8% LPC 33% ± 8%▲ CPC 22% ± 6% NDP LPC 2021 54.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cape Spear 94%▼ LPC 6%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cape Spear

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 33% ± 8% NDP 22% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Cape Spear 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Cape Spear

LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Cape Spear



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.6% 54.7% 43% ± 8% NDP 28.7% 23.1% 22% ± 6% CPC 19.6% 20.4% 33% ± 8% PPC 0.7% 1.8% 1% ± 1% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.