logo
Canada

Cape Spear



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
LPC leaning
Cape Spear 39% ± 9% LPC 34% ± 8%▼ CPC 24% ± 7% NDP LPC 2021 54.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cape Spear 78%▲ LPC 22%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Cape Spear



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.6% 54.7% 39% ± 9% CPC 19.6% 20.4% 34% ± 8% NDP 28.7% 23.1% 24% ± 7% GPC 2.2% 0.0% 1% ± 2% PPC 0.7% 1.8% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.