338Canada | Gatineau (Québec federal district)





24027 - Gatineau

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 107,460 residents
Population density: 903 pop./km² (rank: 140 of 338)
Median household income: $67 866 (rank: 184 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Steven Mackinnon (LPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Gatineau

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Gatineau

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Gatineau



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Gatineau



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Gatineau


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
46.5% ± 7.1% 49.9% Within confidence interval
19.9% ± 5.4% 23.3% Within confidence interval
11.4% ± 3.7% 10.9% Within confidence interval
14.0% ± 4.3% 8.6% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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