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Canada

Regina—Wascana



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
CPC leaning

Candidates | Regina—Wascana


Liberal Jeffrey Walters
Conservative Michael Kram*
NDP Kaitlyn Stadnyk
Green Kimberly Epp
PPC Peter Bruce

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Regina—Wascana 48% ± 9% CPC 41% ± 9%▼ LPC 8% ± 4% NDP CPC 2021 49.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina—Wascana 80%▲ CPC 20%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Regina—Wascana

LPC 41% ± 9% CPC 48% ± 9% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Regina—Wascana 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 46% LPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 48% LPC 41% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Regina—Wascana

LPC 20% CPC 80% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Regina—Wascana



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 49.4% 49.9% 48% ± 9% LPC 33.6% 26.9% 41% ± 9% NDP 12.8% 18.1% 8% ± 4% GPC 2.9% 1.6% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.0% 3.5% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.