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Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/BQ

Candidates | Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères


Liberal Laurent de Casanove
Conservative Vincent Kunda
NDP Jean-Francois Filion
Bloc Quebecois Xavier Barsalou-Duval*
PPC Alexandre Blais

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères 39% ± 7%▼ BQ 39% ± 8%▲ LPC 15% ± 5% CPC 5% ± 4% NDP BQ 2021 54.3% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères 53%▼ BQ 47%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% BQ 39% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 45% LPC 27% CPC 16% NDP 8% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 44% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 15% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 42% LPC 34% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 42% LPC 34% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 41% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 15% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 40% LPC 36% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 39% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 39% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 38% LPC 38% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 39% BQ 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 39% BQ 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 39% BQ 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 39% BQ 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères

LPC 47% NDP <1% BQ 53% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 51% BQ 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 51.0% 54.3% 39% ± 7% LPC 28.5% 25.9% 39% ± 8% CPC 8.1% 8.8% 15% ± 5% NDP 6.9% 7.7% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.6% 2.0% 2% ± 2% GPC 4.9% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.