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Canada


Papineau (federal)


MP: Justin Trudeau (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
Papineau 46% ± 8% LPC 29% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 5% BQ 6% ± 3% GPC 4% ± 2% CPC LPC 2021 49.51% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Papineau >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Papineau

LPC 46% ± 8% NDP 29% ± 7% GPC 6% ± 3% BQ 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Papineau 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Papineau

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Papineau



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 52.0% 51.1% 49.51% 46% ± 8% NDP 25.9% 19.2% 22.64% 29% ± 7% BQ 12.2% 16.0% 15.11% 14% ± 5% CPC 4.7% 4.2% 4.84% 4% ± 2% GPC 2.8% 7.4% 3.2% 6% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 0.6% 2.33% 1% ± 2%