338Canada | Papineau (Québec federal district)




24055 - Papineau

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 110,750 residents
Population density: 11176 pop./km² (rank: 2 of 338)
Median household income: $43 451 (rank: 337 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Justin Trudeau (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Papineau

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Papineau

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Papineau



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Papineau




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Papineau



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Papineau


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
51.6% ± 8.8% 51.1% Within confidence interval
14.3% ± 5.3% 19.2% Within confidence interval
20.0% ± 6.8% 16.0% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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