Prairies
28 federal districts
Latest update: July 5, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Prairies
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Prairies
28 federal districts
Latest update: July 5, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Federal Projection | Prairies
Federal Seat Projection | Prairies
List of districts | Prairies
Latest update: July 5, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Grant Jackson
|
CPC safe | |
Rebecca Chartrand
|
LPC leaning | |
Colin Reynolds
|
Toss up CPC/NDP | |
Raquel Dancho
|
Toss up LPC/CPC | |
Branden Leslie
|
CPC safe | |
Ted Falk
|
CPC safe | |
Dan Mazier
|
CPC safe | |
Ginette Lavack
|
LPC safe | |
James Bezan
|
CPC safe | |
Leah Gazan
|
NDP leaning | |
Kevin Lamoureux
|
LPC safe | |
Terry Duguid
|
LPC safe | |
Ben Carr
|
LPC safe | |
Doug Eyolfson
|
LPC safe | |
Rosemarie Falk
|
CPC safe | |
Kelly Block
|
CPC safe | |
Buckley Belanger
|
LPC safe | |
Fraser Tolmie
|
CPC safe | |
Randy Hoback
|
CPC safe | |
Warren Steinley
|
Toss up LPC/CPC | |
Andrew Scheer
|
CPC safe | |
Michael Kram
|
Toss up LPC/CPC | |
Kevin Waugh
|
CPC leaning | |
Corey Tochor
|
Toss up LPC/CPC | |
Brad Redekopp
|
CPC likely | |
Steven Bonk
|
CPC safe | |
Jeremy Patzer
|
CPC safe | |
Cathay Wagantall
|
CPC safe |