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338Canada federal projection | Prairies, 28 districts


Latest update: April 30, 2025
Prairies 55% ± 1%▲ CPC 34% ± 1%▼ LPC 9% ± 1%▼ NDP 338Canada federal vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Prairies, 28 federal districts 20▲ [18-21] CPC 7▼ [6-9] LPC 1▼ [0-2] NDP 0 [0-0] PPC 338Canada seat projection | April 30, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Federal vote projection | Prairies

LPC 34% ± 1% CPC 55% ± 1% NDP 9% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Prairies 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 23% NDP 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 32% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Federal seat projection | Prairies

LPC 7 [6-9] CPC 20 [18-21] NDP 1 [0-2] Seat projection | Prairies 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 19 LPC 8 NDP 1 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 19 LPC 8 NDP 1 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 20 LPC 8 NDP 0 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 20 LPC 7 NDP 1 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 18 LPC 7 NDP 3 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 19 LPC 6 NDP 3 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 20 LPC 7 NDP 1 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 20 LPC 7 NDP 1 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 18 LPC 7 NDP 3 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 19 LPC 7 NDP 2 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 18 LPC 8 NDP 2 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 20 LPC 7 NDP 1 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Seat projection | Prairies


Latest update: April 30, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2025)
14 5 1 0 20 20
6 1 0 0 7 7
0 0 1 0 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Prairies


Latest update: April 30, 2025
Electoral district Transposed
2021 winner
Latest projection
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC likely
46003 Elmwood—Transcona CPC likely
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul CPC leaning
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC safe
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan CPC likely
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana CPC likely
47009 Saskatoon South CPC likely
47010 Saskatoon—University CPC likely
47011 Saskatoon West CPC safe
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe