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Canada


Lac-Saint-Louis


Latest projection: June 9, 2024
LPC safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Lac-Saint-Louis 45% ± 7%▼ LPC 27% ± 6%▲ CPC 13% ± 5%▼ NDP 7% ± 4% GPC 6% ± 3%▼ BQ LPC 2021 56.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lac-Saint-Louis >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lac-Saint-Louis

LPC 45% ± 7% CPC 27% ± 6% NDP 13% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% BQ 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Lac-Saint-Louis 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ June 9, 2024

Odds of winning | Lac-Saint-Louis

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP June 9, 2024

Recent electoral history | Lac-Saint-Louis



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 58.2% 56.3% 45% ± 7% CPC 15.3% 18.9% 27% ± 6% NDP 12.2% 13.3% 13% ± 5% BQ 5.3% 5.3% 6% ± 3% GPC 7.0% 3.2% 7% ± 4% PPC 1.4% 3.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.