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Canada

Lac-Saint-Louis



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
LPC leaning
Lac-Saint-Louis 36% ± 7% LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 18% ± 5%▲ NDP 8% ± 4% BQ 7% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 56.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lac-Saint-Louis 89%▲ LPC 11%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lac-Saint-Louis

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 30% ± 6% NDP 18% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% BQ 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Lac-Saint-Louis 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 45% CPC 26% NDP 13% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 45% CPC 25% NDP 14% BQ 8% GPC 7% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 46% CPC 24% NDP 14% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 46% CPC 25% NDP 14% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 45% CPC 27% NDP 13% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 45% CPC 27% NDP 13% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 40% CPC 31% NDP 14% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 39% CPC 31% NDP 15% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 40% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 40% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 40% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 40% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 42% CPC 29% NDP 14% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 42% CPC 29% NDP 14% BQ 6% GPC 6% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 41% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 6% GPC 6% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 42% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 6% GPC 6% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 43% CPC 29% NDP 14% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 42% CPC 28% NDP 15% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 42% CPC 29% NDP 14% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 40% CPC 29% NDP 15% BQ 7% GPC 7% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 38% CPC 30% NDP 16% BQ 7% GPC 7% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 38% CPC 29% NDP 17% BQ 7% GPC 7% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 38% CPC 29% NDP 17% BQ 8% GPC 6% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 39% CPC 28% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 6% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 40% CPC 28% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 7% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 40% CPC 28% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 6% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 39% CPC 29% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 6% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 39% CPC 30% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 6% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 37% CPC 31% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 6% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 36% CPC 31% NDP 16% BQ 8% GPC 7% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 36% CPC 30% NDP 17% BQ 8% GPC 7% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 36% CPC 30% NDP 18% BQ 8% GPC 7% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Lac-Saint-Louis

LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Lac-Saint-Louis



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 58.2% 56.3% 36% ± 7% CPC 15.3% 18.9% 30% ± 6% NDP 12.2% 13.3% 18% ± 5% BQ 5.3% 5.3% 8% ± 4% GPC 7.0% 3.2% 7% ± 4% PPC 1.4% 3.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.