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Canada

Battle River—Crowfoot



Latest projection: March 27, 2025
CPC safe
Battle River—Crowfoot 74% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% LPC 6% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 2% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC CPC 2021 71.4% 338Canada vote projection | March 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Battle River—Crowfoot >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Battle River—Crowfoot

LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 74% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Battle River—Crowfoot 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 27, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 75% NDP 10% LPC 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 73% NDP 9% LPC 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 74% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 74% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 73% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 73% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 73% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 74% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 73% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 74% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 74% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Battle River—Crowfoot

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 27, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Battle River—Crowfoot



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 85.6% 71.4% 74% ± 7% LPC 4.1% 4.3% 14% ± 5% NDP 5.0% 9.7% 6% ± 4% GPC 2.7% 0.9% 3% ± 2% PPC 2.6% 9.3% 3% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.