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Battle River—Crowfoot

Latest update: February 1, 2026
C
MP: Pierre Poilievre
Alberta
CPC safe
Projection — Battle River—Crowfoot → Demographic data — Battle River—Crowfoot → Regional projection — Alberta → All federal districts → Federal projection map → Federal polls → Back to 338Canada home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Battle River—Crowfoot


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 74% ± 7% 85.6% 71.4% 82.8% LPC 9% ± 4% 4.1% 4.3% 11.7% IND 8% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 5% ± 3% 5.0% 9.7% 3.2% PPC 1% ± 2% 2.6% 9.3% 1.6%

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338Canada Battle River—Crowfoot projection

Latest update: February 1, 2026

Battle River—Crowfoot 67% 80% 74% ± 7% CPC 6% 13% 9% ± 4% LPC 3% 13% 8% ± 5% IND 1% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 82.8% 338Canada vote projection | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Battle River—Crowfoot >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% INDOdds of winning | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Battle River—Crowfoot

LPC 9% ± 4% CPC 74% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% IND 8% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Battle River—Crowfoot 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 80% LPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 80% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 80% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 82% LPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 82% LPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 82% LPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 83% LPC 12% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 83% LPC 12% NDP 3% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 83% LPC 12% NDP 3% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 82% LPC 12% NDP 3% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 82% LPC 13% NDP 3% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 81% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 80% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 80% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 80% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 80% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 73% LPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 73% LPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 75% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 75% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 75% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 75% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 74% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 73% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 73% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 73% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 74% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 73% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 73% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 73% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 73% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 73% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 73% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 72% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 74% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 74% LPC 9% NDP 4% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 74% LPC 8% NDP 5% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 74% LPC 8% NDP 5% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 74% LPC 8% NDP 5% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 74% LPC 8% NDP 5% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 74% LPC 8% NDP 5% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 74% LPC 9% NDP 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 74% LPC 9% NDP 5% 2026-02-01

Odds of winning | Battle River—Crowfoot

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-02-01


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Demographic data | Battle River—Crowfoot

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 94.3% English 3.2% German 0.7% Tagalog 0.3% Spanish 0.3% French 0.1% Korean 0.1% PunjabiBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 12.4% No diploma 32.5% High school 14.2% Trade 23.0% College / Cégep 2.6% Some university 11.8% Bachelor's 3.4% PostgraduateBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 93.7% Not visible minority 6.3% Visible minority 2.8% Filipino 0.8% South Asian 0.8% Black 0.4% Latin American 0.4% Chinese 0.3% KoreanBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 39.9% No Religion 16.7% Catholic 12.8% Christian (n.o.s.) 9.2% United Church 6.4% Lutheran 4.4% Other Christian 2.5% Anglican 1.6% BaptistBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 78.2% Owner 21.8% RenterBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 60.1% Employed 33.8% Not in labour force 6.0% UnemployedBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 94.7% Non-Indigenous 5.3% Indigenous identity 3.5% Metis 1.6% First Nations 0.1% Others 0.1% Multiple 0.1% InukBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 91.3% Car / truck / van 6.0% Walking 1.8% Other 0.5% Bicycle 0.4% Public transitBattle River—CrowfootSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.