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Canada


Battle River–Crowfoot (federal)


MP: Damien Kurek (CPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC safe hold
Battle River–Crowfoot 77% ± 6% 10% ± 4%▲ 5% ± 3%▲ IND 3% ± 2% 3% ± 3% CPC 2021 71.29% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Battle River–Crowfoot >99% <1% <1% INDOdds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Battle River–Crowfoot

CPC 77% ± 6% NDP 10% ± 4% IND 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Battle River–Crowfoot 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 CPC NDP IND

Odds of winning | Battle River–Crowfoot

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Battle River–Crowfoot



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 80.9% 85.5% 71.29% 77% ± 6% NDP 6.5% 5.1% 9.79% 10% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 2.6% 9.25% 3% ± 3% LPC 9.4% 4.1% 4.31% 3% ± 2% GPC 3.2% 2.7% 0.96% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5% ± 3% MAV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%