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Canada

Battle River—Crowfoot



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Battle River—Crowfoot


Liberal Brent Sutton
Conservative Damien Kurek*
NDP James MacKay
Green Douglas Gook
PPC Jonathan Bridges

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Battle River—Crowfoot 79% ± 6% CPC 13% ± 5% LPC 4% ± 3% NDP CPC 2021 71.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Battle River—Crowfoot >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Battle River—Crowfoot

LPC 13% ± 5% CPC 79% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Battle River—Crowfoot 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 75% NDP 10% LPC 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 73% NDP 9% LPC 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 74% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 74% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 73% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 73% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 73% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 74% LPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 73% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 74% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 74% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 75% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 75% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 75% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 78% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 78% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 79% LPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 80% LPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 80% LPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 80% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 79% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 80% LPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 79% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 79% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 79% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Battle River—Crowfoot

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Battle River—Crowfoot



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 85.6% 71.4% 79% ± 6% LPC 4.1% 4.3% 13% ± 5% NDP 5.0% 9.7% 4% ± 3% PPC 2.6% 9.3% 2% ± 3% GPC 2.7% 0.9% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.