338Canada | Scarborough Southwest (Ontario federal district)




35098 - Scarborough Southwest

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 110,275 residents
Population density: 3944 pop./km² (rank: 35 of 338)
Median household income: $59 141 (rank: 263 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Bill Blair (LPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Scarborough Southwest

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Scarborough Southwest

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Scarborough Southwest



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Scarborough Southwest




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Scarborough Southwest



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Scarborough Southwest


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
45.6% ± 8.9% 57.2% Outside confidence interval
19.4% ± 6.1% 20.7% Within confidence interval
26.7% ± 7.9% 15.5% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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