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Canada


Scarborough Southwest (federal)


MP: Bill Blair (LPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

LPC safe hold
Scarborough Southwest 52% ± 8% LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 57.48% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Scarborough Southwest >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Scarborough Southwest

LPC 52% ± 8% CPC 22% ± 6% NDP 19% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Scarborough Southwest 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Scarborough Southwest

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Scarborough Southwest



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 52.5% 57.2% 57.48% 52% ± 8% CPC 21.2% 20.7% 20.82% 22% ± 6% NDP 23.7% 15.5% 16.03% 19% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 2.92% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.6% 4.9% 2.47% 6% ± 4% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%