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Canada


Richmond–Arthabaska (federal)


MP: Alain Rayes (IND)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC safe hold
Richmond–Arthabaska 55% ± 8% CPC 23% ± 6% BQ 14% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 3% NDP 2% ± 2% PPC CPC 2021 49.66% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Richmond–Arthabaska >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Richmond–Arthabaska

LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 55% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 23% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Richmond–Arthabaska 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Richmond–Arthabaska

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Richmond–Arthabaska



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 31.6% 45.3% 49.66% 55% ± 8% BQ 17.2% 28.2% 24.87% 23% ± 6% LPC 24.7% 15.1% 15.02% 14% ± 5% NDP 24.2% 4.9% 4.46% 5% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 3.62% 2% ± 2% GPC 1.7% 5.3% 0.0% 1% ± 1%