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Recent electoral history | Red Deer


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 61% ± 7% 76.4% 60.5% 71.6% LPC 28% ± 6% 7.2% 8.2% 21.9% NDP 6% ± 4% 9.7% 17.4% 3.8% PPC 1% ± 2% 3.6% 11.3% 1.3%

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338Canada Red Deer projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

Red Deer 55% 68% 61% ± 7% CPC 22% 34% 28% ± 6% LPC 2% 9% 6% ± 4% NDP CPC 2025 71.6% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Red Deer >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Red Deer

LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 61% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Red Deer 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 67% LPC 18% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 67% LPC 18% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 67% LPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 72% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 72% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 72% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 72% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 71% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 71% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 71% LPC 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 70% LPC 23% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 68% LPC 25% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 68% LPC 25% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 68% LPC 26% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 67% LPC 26% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 68% LPC 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 68% LPC 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 68% LPC 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 68% LPC 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 69% LPC 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 68% LPC 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 69% LPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 68% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 67% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 67% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 67% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 68% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 68% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 67% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 67% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 67% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 66% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 66% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 66% LPC 24% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 67% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 68% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 68% LPC 22% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 67% LPC 22% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 67% LPC 22% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 67% LPC 22% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 67% LPC 22% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 66% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 66% LPC 23% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 66% LPC 24% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 66% LPC 24% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 65% LPC 25% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 62% LPC 28% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 61% LPC 28% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | Red Deer

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | Red Deer

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 91.6% English 2.5% Tagalog 1.1% Spanish 0.5% Arabic 0.3% French 0.3% Punjabi 0.2% CantoneseRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 10.7% No diploma 29.5% High school 11.4% Trade 24.0% College / Cégep 3.0% Some university 15.9% Bachelor's 5.4% PostgraduateRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 82.9% Not visible minority 17.1% Visible minority 7.4% Filipino 2.2% South Asian 1.8% Black 1.6% Latin American 1.0% Chinese 0.8% Southeast AsianRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 45.0% No Religion 20.0% Catholic 11.6% Christian (n.o.s.) 4.8% United Church 3.7% Other Christian 2.5% Anglican 2.1% Lutheran 1.9% MuslimRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 67.1% Owner 32.9% RenterRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 59.4% Employed 32.6% Not in labour force 8.0% UnemployedRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 93.5% Non-Indigenous 6.5% Indigenous identity 3.9% Metis 2.3% First Nations 0.1% Multiple 0.1% Others 0.1% InukRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 92.3% Car / truck / van 3.2% Walking 2.2% Public transit 1.6% Other 0.6% BicycleRed DeerSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.