logo
Canada

Red Deer



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Red Deer


Liberal Ayaz Bangash
Conservative Burton Bailey
NDP Elias Assefa
Green Ashley MacDonald
PPC Kyla Courte
Christian Heritage Brandon Pringle

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Red Deer 66% ± 8% CPC 18% ± 6% LPC 7% ± 4% NDP 6% ± 5% PPC CPC 2021 60.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Red Deer >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Red Deer

LPC 18% ± 6% CPC 66% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% PPC 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Red Deer 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP PPC April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 65% NDP 15% LPC 11% PPC 4% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 63% LPC 15% NDP 14% PPC 4% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 64% LPC 20% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 63% LPC 20% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 63% LPC 20% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 63% LPC 20% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 63% LPC 20% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 10% PPC 3% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 10% PPC 3% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 10% PPC 3% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 65% LPC 20% NDP 10% PPC 3% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 65% LPC 20% NDP 9% PPC 3% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 66% LPC 20% NDP 9% PPC 3% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 66% LPC 20% NDP 9% PPC 3% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 67% LPC 20% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 67% LPC 20% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 67% LPC 20% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 7% PPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 69% LPC 19% NDP 7% PPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 70% LPC 19% NDP 7% PPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 66% LPC 18% PPC 7% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 66% LPC 18% NDP 7% PPC 6% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Red Deer

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Red Deer



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 76.4% 60.5% 66% ± 8% LPC 7.2% 8.2% 18% ± 6% NDP 9.7% 17.4% 7% ± 4% PPC 3.6% 11.3% 6% ± 5% GPC 3.1% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.