338Canada | Yellowhead (Alberta federal district)




48034 - Yellowhead

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 101,980 residents
Population density: 1.32 pop./km² (rank: 319 of 338)
Median household income: $89 800 (rank: 57 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Gerald Soroka (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Yellowhead


Sheila Schumacher
Gerald Soroka
Guillaume Roy
Michael Manchen
Todd Muir
Gordon Francey (VCP)





Federal vote projection | Yellowhead

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Yellowhead

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Yellowhead



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Yellowhead



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Yellowhead


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
66.0% ± 8.1% 82.1% Outside confidence interval
14.2% ± 5.5% 7.0% Outside confidence interval
9.5% ± 3.9% 5.2% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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