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Canada


Yellowhead (federal)


MP: Gerald Soroka (CPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC safe hold
Yellowhead 70% ± 8% CPC 12% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 3% LPC 5% ± 4% PPC 4% ± 2% IND 4% ± 3% MAV CPC 2021 66.16% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Yellowhead >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Yellowhead

LPC 5% ± 3% CPC 70% ± 8% NDP 12% ± 5% PPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Yellowhead 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | Yellowhead

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Yellowhead



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 72.3% 82.1% 66.16% 70% ± 8% PPC 0.0% 2.8% 12.7% 5% ± 4% NDP 9.0% 7.0% 11.76% 12% ± 5% LPC 14.2% 5.2% 5.62% 5% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.9% 2.3% 0.0% 0% ± 1%