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Canada


Red Deer


Latest projection: May 19, 2024
CPC safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Red Deer 68% ± 8%▲ CPC 17% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 3% LPC 6% ± 5% PPC CPC 2021 60.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Red Deer >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Red Deer

LPC 6% ± 3% CPC 68% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 5% PPC 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Red Deer 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Red Deer

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Red Deer



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 76.4% 60.5% 68% ± 8% NDP 9.7% 17.4% 17% ± 5% PPC 3.6% 11.3% 6% ± 5% LPC 7.2% 8.2% 6% ± 3% GPC 3.1% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.