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Canada

Beauport—Limoilou


MP elect: Steeve Lavoie (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Beauport—Limoilou


Liberal Steeve Lavoie
Conservative Hugo Langlois
NDP Raymond Cote
Green Dalila Elhak
Bloc Quebecois Julie Vignola*
PPC Andree Massicotte
Marxist-Leninist Claude Moreau

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Beauport—Limoilou 36% ± 6% LPC 30% ± 5% CPC 29% ± 5% BQ 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 35.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauport—Limoilou 87%▼ LPC 9%▲ CPC 3%▲ BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 36% ± 6% CPC 30% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% BQ 29% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Beauport—Limoilou 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 36% BQ 36% LPC 13% NDP 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 37% BQ 35% LPC 13% NDP 10% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 37% BQ 35% LPC 13% NDP 10% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 36% BQ 35% LPC 14% NDP 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 35% BQ 31% LPC 19% NDP 8% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 35% BQ 30% LPC 21% NDP 8% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 36% BQ 29% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 35% BQ 29% LPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 33% BQ 28% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 35% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 35% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 35% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 35% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 34% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 36% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 36% LPC 31% BQ 24% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 36% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 36% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 36% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 35% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 35% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 36% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 36% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 35% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 34% LPC 30% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 34% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 35% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 34% LPC 30% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 35% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 34% LPC 30% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 32% LPC 30% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 33% LPC 29% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 34% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 34% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 33% LPC 29% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 87% CPC 9% NDP <1% BQ 3% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 63% BQ 37% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 77% BQ 23% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 84% BQ 16% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 89% BQ 11% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 88% BQ 11% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 89% BQ 10% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 89% BQ 9% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 90% BQ 8% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 89% BQ 9% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 87% BQ 12% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 84% BQ 14% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 76% LPC 12% BQ 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 76% LPC 14% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 79% LPC 15% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 82% LPC 15% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 83% LPC 15% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 83% LPC 15% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 80% LPC 17% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 80% LPC 19% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 80% LPC 19% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 74% LPC 26% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 75% LPC 24% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 72% LPC 27% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 81% LPC 18% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 81% LPC 19% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 84% LPC 16% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 86% LPC 13% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 86% LPC 13% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 85% LPC 14% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 88% LPC 11% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 92% LPC 6% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 93% LPC 5% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 90% LPC 8% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 79% LPC 20% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 77% LPC 22% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 81% LPC 18% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 79% LPC 19% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 82% LPC 17% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 79% LPC 19% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 59% LPC 26% BQ 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 69% LPC 19% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 76% LPC 13% BQ 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 80% LPC 11% BQ 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 84% LPC 9% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 76% LPC 13% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 70% LPC 19% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 92% CPC 6% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 93% CPC 5% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 90% CPC 8% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 87% CPC 9% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Beauport—Limoilou



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 36% ± 6% 25.2% 24.6% 35.6% CPC 30% ± 5% 27.2% 30.5% 30.1% BQ 29% ± 5% 30.2% 31.1% 28.6% NDP 3% ± 2% 10.6% 9.7% 3.4% GPC 2% ± 1% 4.1% 2.0% 1.5% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.6% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.