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Canada

Beauport—Limoilou



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Beauport—Limoilou


Liberal Steeve Lavoie
Conservative Hugo Langlois
NDP Raymond Cote
Green Dalila Elhak
Bloc Quebecois Julie Vignola*
PPC Andree Massicotte
Marxist-Leninist Claude Moreau

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Beauport—Limoilou 35% ± 7%▼ CPC 28% ± 6% LPC 26% ± 6% BQ 5% ± 3% NDP BQ 2021 31.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauport—Limoilou 90%▼ CPC 8%▲ LPC 2% BQ Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 26% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Beauport—Limoilou 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 36% BQ 29% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 35% BQ 29% LPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 34% BQ 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 33% BQ 28% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 34% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 35% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 35% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 35% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 35% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 34% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 36% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 36% LPC 31% BQ 24% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 36% LPC 31% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 36% LPC 30% BQ 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 36% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 35% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 35% LPC 29% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 36% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 36% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 35% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 8% CPC 90% NDP <1% BQ 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 89% BQ 11% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 88% BQ 11% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 89% BQ 10% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 89% BQ 9% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 90% BQ 8% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 89% BQ 9% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 87% BQ 12% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 84% BQ 14% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 76% LPC 12% BQ 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 76% LPC 14% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 79% LPC 15% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 82% LPC 15% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 83% LPC 15% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 83% LPC 15% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 80% LPC 17% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 80% LPC 19% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 80% LPC 19% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 74% LPC 26% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 75% LPC 24% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 72% LPC 27% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 81% LPC 18% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 81% LPC 19% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 84% LPC 16% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 86% LPC 13% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 86% LPC 13% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 85% LPC 14% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 88% LPC 11% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 92% LPC 6% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 93% LPC 5% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 90% LPC 8% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Beauport—Limoilou



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 27.2% 30.5% 35% ± 7% LPC 25.2% 24.6% 28% ± 6% BQ 30.2% 31.1% 26% ± 6% NDP 10.6% 9.7% 5% ± 3% GPC 4.1% 2.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 2.1% 0.3% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.