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Recent electoral history | Beauport—Limoilou


2019 2021 2025 Projection BQ 33% ± 7% 30.2% 31.1% 28.6% LPC 31% ± 6% 25.2% 24.6% 35.6% CPC 25% ± 6% 27.2% 30.5% 30.1% NDP 6% ± 4% 10.6% 9.7% 3.4% GPC 3% ± 3% 4.1% 2.0% 1.5%

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338Canada Beauport—Limoilou projection

Latest update: January 18, 2026

Beauport—Limoilou 27% 40% 33% ± 7% BQ 25% 38% 31% ± 6% LPC 19% 31% 25% ± 6% CPC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% NDP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2025 35.6% 338Canada vote projection | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauport—Limoilou 65%▲ BQ 34%▼ LPC 1% CPC Odds of winning | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 31% ± 6% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 6% ± 4% BQ 33% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Beauport—Limoilou 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC IND January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 34% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 33% LPC 28% BQ 28% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 33% LPC 29% BQ 28% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 36% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 36% CPC 29% BQ 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 36% CPC 29% BQ 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 38% BQ 28% CPC 28% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 39% BQ 27% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 40% BQ 27% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 40% BQ 27% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 40% BQ 28% CPC 26% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 40% BQ 27% CPC 26% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 39% BQ 28% CPC 26% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 38% BQ 29% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 37% BQ 29% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 37% BQ 29% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 36% BQ 30% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 36% BQ 30% CPC 28% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 36% BQ 29% CPC 28% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 30% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 29% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 33% BQ 32% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 33% BQ 33% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 27% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 25% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 25% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 25% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 33% LPC 31% CPC 25% NDP 6% GPC 3% 2026-01-18

Odds of winning | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 34% CPC 1% NDP <1% BQ 65% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 84% LPC 9% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 76% LPC 13% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 70% LPC 19% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 92% CPC 6% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 93% CPC 5% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 90% CPC 8% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 87% CPC 9% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 81% CPC 13% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 82% CPC 12% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 83% CPC 9% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 86% CPC 8% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 95% CPC 3% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 98% CPC 1% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 99% BQ 1% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 99% BQ 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 98% BQ 1% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 96% BQ 3% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 94% BQ 5% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 92% BQ 6% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 85% BQ 13% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 88% BQ 9% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 89% BQ 7% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 81% BQ 11% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 81% BQ 11% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 71% BQ 20% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 70% BQ 22% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 70% BQ 21% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 69% BQ 21% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 69% BQ 19% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 63% BQ 20% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 62% BQ 24% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 61% BQ 24% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 57% BQ 40% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 49% BQ 47% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 59% LPC 38% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 59% LPC 40% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 59% LPC 39% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 61% LPC 38% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 65% LPC 34% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18


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Demographic data | Beauport—Limoilou

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 96.2% French 0.9% English 0.7% Spanish 0.4% Arabic 0.2% Portuguese 0.1% Creole 0.1% Serbo-CroatianBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 9.9% No diploma 16.4% High school 19.1% Trade 22.9% College / Cégep 3.9% Some university 17.3% Bachelor's 10.5% PostgraduateBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 90.4% Not visible minority 9.6% Visible minority 5.0% Black 1.5% Latin American 1.2% Arab 0.6% Southeast Asian 0.4% South Asian 0.3% ChineseBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 57.5% Catholic 31.2% No Religion 5.9% Christian (n.o.s.) 2.6% Muslim 0.8% Other Christian 0.4% Other Religions 0.3% Buddhist 0.3% PentecostalBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 59.3% Renter 40.6% OwnerBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 58.7% Employed 36.4% Not in labour force 4.9% UnemployedBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.1% Non-Indigenous 1.9% Indigenous identity 1.0% First Nations 0.7% Metis 0.1% OthersBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 75.6% Car / truck / van 13.2% Public transit 7.7% Walking 1.8% Other 1.7% BicycleBeauport—LimoilouSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.