logo
logo
Canada

Beauport—Limoilou



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
Toss up CPC/BQ
Beauport—Limoilou 34% ± 7% BQ 34% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% LPC 11% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 31.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauport—Limoilou 57%▲ BQ 43%▼ CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 11% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 34% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Beauport—Limoilou 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 37% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 35% CPC 35% LPC 15% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 35% CPC 34% LPC 16% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 37% BQ 32% LPC 16% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 37% BQ 31% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 38% BQ 31% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 37% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 36% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 10% GPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 36% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 36% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 3% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 3% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 3% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 35% BQ 31% LPC 17% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 34% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 34% BQ 32% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 34% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 34% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 34% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 33% BQ 33% LPC 16% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 BQ 34% CPC 33% LPC 16% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 BQ 34% CPC 32% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 BQ 34% CPC 32% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 BQ 35% CPC 33% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 BQ 34% CPC 34% LPC 16% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 35% BQ 34% LPC 15% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 15% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 BQ 34% CPC 34% LPC 14% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 BQ 34% CPC 34% LPC 14% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Beauport—Limoilou

LPC <1% CPC 43% NDP <1% BQ 57% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 75% BQ 25% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 79% BQ 21% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 90% BQ 10% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 78% BQ 22% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 63% BQ 37% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 74% BQ 26% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 67% BQ 33% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 63% BQ 37% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 58% BQ 42% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 51% BQ 49% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 BQ 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 BQ 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 BQ 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 BQ 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 BQ 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 60% BQ 40% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 BQ 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 BQ 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Beauport—Limoilou



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 30.2% 31.1% 34% ± 7% CPC 27.2% 30.5% 34% ± 7% LPC 25.2% 24.6% 14% ± 5% NDP 10.6% 9.7% 11% ± 4% GPC 4.1% 2.0% 4% ± 3% PPC 2.1% 0.3% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.