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Canada


Beauport–Limoilou (federal)


MP: Julie Vignola (BQ)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC leaning gain
Beauport–Limoilou 37% ± 7%▲ 31% ± 7% 15% ± 5% 12% ± 4% 5% ± 4% BQ 2021 31.13% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Beauport–Limoilou 85%▲ 15%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauport–Limoilou

LPC 15% ± 5% CPC 37% ± 7% NDP 12% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 31% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Beauport–Limoilou 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Beauport–Limoilou

LPC <1% CPC 85% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 15% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Beauport–Limoilou



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 14.8% 30.2% 31.13% 31% ± 7% CPC 30.6% 26.3% 29.02% 37% ± 7% LPC 25.4% 25.9% 25.45% 15% ± 5% NDP 25.5% 11.2% 10.41% 12% ± 4% GPC 2.4% 4.2% 2.22% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0% ± 0%