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Canada

Kings—Hants


MP elect: Kody Blois (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Kings—Hants


Liberal Kody Blois*
Conservative Joel Hirtle
NDP Paul Doerr
Green Karen Beazley
PPC Alexander Cargill

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Kings—Hants 61% ± 6%▲ LPC 33% ± 6%▼ CPC 4% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 60.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kings—Hants >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kings—Hants

LPC 61% ± 6% CPC 33% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Kings—Hants 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 47% LPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 46% LPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 46% LPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 18% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 15% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% CPC 32% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 61% CPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Kings—Hants

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Kings—Hants



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 61% ± 6% 42.8% 44.4% 60.6% CPC 33% ± 6% 25.5% 30.2% 33.4% NDP 4% ± 2% 16.9% 18.9% 3.6% GPC 1% ± 1% 12.7% 1.9% 1.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.5% 4.5% 1.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.