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Canada

Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis


MP elect: Dominique Vien (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis


Liberal Glenn O'Farrell
Conservative Dominique Vien*
NDP Marie-Philippe Gagnon-Gauthier
Bloc Quebecois Gaby Breton
PPC Mario Frechette

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis 49% ± 6%▼ CPC 29% ± 5%▲ LPC 19% ± 4% BQ CPC 2025 49.1% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis

LPC 29% ± 5% CPC 49% ± 6% BQ 19% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 57% BQ 25% LPC 7% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 57% BQ 25% LPC 7% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 57% BQ 25% LPC 8% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 56% BQ 25% LPC 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 56% BQ 24% LPC 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 56% BQ 24% LPC 10% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 56% BQ 23% LPC 11% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 54% BQ 21% LPC 13% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 55% BQ 21% LPC 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% BQ 20% LPC 14% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 19% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 19% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 53% LPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 53% LPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 55% LPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 55% LPC 20% BQ 16% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 55% LPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 55% LPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 55% LPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 56% LPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 57% LPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 57% LPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 57% LPC 20% BQ 15% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 60% LPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 60% LPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 61% LPC 21% BQ 15% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 61% LPC 20% BQ 15% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 62% LPC 20% BQ 14% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 59% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 58% LPC 24% BQ 14% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 55% LPC 26% BQ 15% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 16% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 16% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 16% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 56% LPC 25% BQ 16% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 53% LPC 24% BQ 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 54% LPC 24% BQ 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 18% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 54% LPC 23% BQ 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 49% LPC 28% BQ 19% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 49% LPC 28% BQ 19% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 28% BQ 19% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 49% LPC 29% BQ 19% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 49% ± 6% 51.3% 52.0% 49.1% LPC 29% ± 5% 16.0% 15.5% 28.5% BQ 19% ± 4% 22.4% 22.8% 18.7% NDP 2% ± 2% 5.0% 4.9% 2.5% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.0% 0.0% 1.2% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.