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Canada


Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis (federal)


MP: Dominique Vien (CPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC safe hold
Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis 64% ± 7%▲ 20% ± 5% 9% ± 4% 5% ± 3% 3% ± 2% CPC 2021 51.04% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis

LPC 9% ± 4% CPC 64% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 50.9% 50.1% 51.04% 64% ± 7% BQ 11.5% 22.9% 23.21% 20% ± 5% LPC 20.7% 16.7% 15.94% 9% ± 4% NDP 13.6% 5.1% 5.04% 5% ± 3% GPC 3.2% 3.0% 1.44% 3% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.48% 0% ± 0% PPC 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%