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Canada

Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis



Latest projection: March 27, 2025
CPC safe
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis 52% ± 8%▲ CPC 19% ± 5%▼ BQ 19% ± 5%▲ LPC 4% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 52.0% 338Canada vote projection | March 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | March 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis

LPC 19% ± 5% CPC 52% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% BQ 19% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ March 27, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 55% BQ 21% LPC 14% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% BQ 20% LPC 14% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% BQ 20% LPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 18% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 18% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 19% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-27 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 27, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 51.3% 52.0% 52% ± 8% BQ 22.4% 22.8% 19% ± 5% LPC 16.0% 15.5% 19% ± 5% NDP 5.0% 4.9% 4% ± 3% GPC 3.0% 1.4% 3% ± 3% PPC 2.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.