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New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville


Liberal Jake Sawatzky
Conservative Indy Panchi
NDP Peter Julian*
Green Tara Shushtarian
Independent Lourence Almonte Singh

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 39% ± 8%▼ LPC 31% ± 8%▲ NDP 26% ± 7% CPC NDP 2021 48.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 90%▼ LPC 9%▲ NDP 1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 26% ± 7% NDP 31% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 35% CPC 30% LPC 28% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 35% CPC 30% LPC 29% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 34% CPC 31% NDP 30% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 34% CPC 30% NDP 30% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 35% CPC 30% NDP 30% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 35% CPC 30% NDP 29% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 35% CPC 30% NDP 29% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 36% CPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 37% CPC 29% NDP 29% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 37% CPC 29% NDP 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 37% CPC 29% NDP 29% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 37% CPC 29% NDP 29% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 38% CPC 29% NDP 29% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 38% NDP 29% CPC 29% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 38% CPC 29% NDP 29% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 39% NDP 29% CPC 28% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 40% NDP 30% CPC 27% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 40% NDP 29% CPC 27% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 40% NDP 29% CPC 27% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 40% NDP 29% CPC 27% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 39% NDP 30% CPC 27% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 41% CPC 28% NDP 28% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 41% CPC 28% NDP 27% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 42% CPC 28% NDP 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 43% CPC 27% NDP 26% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 41% NDP 28% CPC 27% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 40% NDP 29% CPC 27% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 40% NDP 29% CPC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 40% NDP 30% CPC 26% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 39% NDP 31% CPC 26% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC 90% CPC 1% NDP 9% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 79% CPC 15% LPC 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 71% CPC 19% LPC 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 68% CPC 18% NDP 15% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 70% CPC 17% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 72% CPC 17% NDP 11% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 75% CPC 15% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 79% CPC 14% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 84% CPC 8% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 86% CPC 8% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 87% CPC 7% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 86% CPC 7% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 90% NDP 5% CPC 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 91% NDP 5% CPC 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 92% NDP 4% CPC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% NDP 5% CPC 2% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 95% NDP 4% CPC 1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% NDP 3% CPC 1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 96% NDP 3% CPC 1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 96% NDP 3% CPC 1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 91% NDP 8% CPC 1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 97% CPC 1% NDP 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 98% CPC 1% NDP 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 96% NDP 3% CPC 1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 96% NDP 3% CPC 1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 95% NDP 4% CPC 1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 90% NDP 9% CPC 1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 23.9% 23.4% 39% ± 8% NDP 43.5% 48.0% 31% ± 8% CPC 22.0% 21.0% 26% ± 7% GPC 8.3% 3.8% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.6% 3.7% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.