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Recent electoral history | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 39% ± 7% 23.9% 23.4% 35.1% NDP 30% ± 7% 43.5% 48.0% 31.6% CPC 28% ± 6% 22.0% 21.0% 31.4% GPC 3% ± 2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% PPC 0% ± 1% 1.6% 3.7% 0.0%

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338Canada New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 32% 45% 39% ± 7% LPC 23% 37% 30% ± 7% NDP 22% 34% 28% ± 6% CPC 0% 5% 3% ± 2% GPC LPC 2025 35.1% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 95%▲ LPC 4%▼ NDP 1% CPC Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC 39% ± 7% CPC 28% ± 6% NDP 30% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 35% NDP 33% CPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 32% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 34% NDP 32% CPC 32% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 34% NDP 33% CPC 32% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 34% NDP 32% CPC 32% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 34% NDP 33% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 36% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 36% NDP 33% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 35% NDP 33% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 34% NDP 33% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 36% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 35% NDP 33% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 35% NDP 33% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 36% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 36% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 34% CPC 32% NDP 32% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 34% CPC 32% NDP 32% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 34% LPC 32% CPC 32% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 36% CPC 31% LPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 36% CPC 31% LPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 38% CPC 29% LPC 29% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 38% CPC 29% LPC 29% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 38% LPC 29% CPC 29% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 38% LPC 29% CPC 29% GPC 3% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 38% LPC 30% CPC 29% GPC 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 35% NDP 31% CPC 29% GPC 3% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 36% NDP 30% CPC 30% GPC 2% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 38% NDP 30% CPC 29% GPC 2% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 38% NDP 30% CPC 29% GPC 2% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 LPC 38% NDP 30% CPC 28% GPC 3% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 LPC 39% NDP 30% CPC 28% GPC 3% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC 95% CPC 1% NDP 4% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 59% NDP 32% CPC 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 63% NDP 27% CPC 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% NDP 33% CPC 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 74% NDP 14% CPC 12% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 75% NDP 14% CPC 11% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 70% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 67% NDP 17% CPC 16% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 60% NDP 21% CPC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 55% NDP 24% CPC 21% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 45% NDP 29% CPC 26% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 42% NDP 34% CPC 24% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 46% NDP 31% CPC 22% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 48% NDP 36% CPC 16% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 59% NDP 29% CPC 12% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 63% NDP 26% CPC 11% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 68% NDP 23% CPC 9% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 66% NDP 27% CPC 7% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 52% NDP 42% CPC 6% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 57% NDP 38% CPC 5% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 55% NDP 38% CPC 7% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 58% NDP 34% CPC 8% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 48% NDP 39% CPC 13% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 61% NDP 27% CPC 12% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 67% NDP 24% CPC 9% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 58% NDP 29% CPC 13% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 55% NDP 33% CPC 12% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 60% NDP 30% CPC 10% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 65% NDP 26% CPC 8% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 69% NDP 24% CPC 7% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 66% NDP 26% CPC 8% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 65% NDP 25% CPC 10% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 61% NDP 23% CPC 16% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 54% NDP 24% CPC 23% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 52% NDP 24% CPC 24% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 48% LPC 30% CPC 22% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 67% CPC 16% LPC 16% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 75% CPC 13% LPC 11% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 90% CPC 5% LPC 5% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 91% CPC 5% LPC 4% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 91% LPC 5% CPC 4% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 93% LPC 4% CPC 3% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 90% LPC 6% CPC 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 73% NDP 21% CPC 6% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 81% NDP 12% CPC 7% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 91% NDP 6% CPC 3% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 92% NDP 6% CPC 3% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 LPC 93% NDP 6% CPC 1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 LPC 95% NDP 4% CPC 1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 73.9% English 4.1% Mandarin 3.1% Cantonese 2.7% Punjabi 2.6% Korean 2.2% Tagalog 1.4% SpanishNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.6% No diploma 22.2% High school 6.1% Trade 19.2% College / Cégep 4.2% Some university 27.9% Bachelor's 13.8% PostgraduateNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 52.4% Visible minority 47.6% Not visible minority 14.2% Chinese 11.1% South Asian 8.2% Filipino 3.7% Korean 3.3% Black 2.9% Latin AmericanNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 45.3% No Religion 17.3% Catholic 9.4% Christian (n.o.s.) 5.2% Sikh 4.3% Muslim 3.1% Orthodox 2.6% Hindu 2.0% BuddhistNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 56.5% Owner 43.5% RenterNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 62.6% Employed 31.5% Not in labour force 5.9% UnemployedNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 97.2% Non-Indigenous 2.8% Indigenous identity 1.5% First Nations 1.2% Metis 0.1% MultipleNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 71.5% Car / truck / van 20.1% Public transit 5.6% Walking 2.0% Other 0.9% BicycleNew Westminster—Burnaby—MaillardvilleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.