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Canada

New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
NDP likely
New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 44% ± 8% NDP 32% ± 7% CPC 17% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 4% GPC NDP 2021 48.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 98% NDP 2% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 44% ± 8% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 41% CPC 37% LPC 15% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 41% CPC 36% LPC 15% GPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 42% CPC 35% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 42% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 43% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 42% CPC 34% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 44% CPC 33% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC <1% CPC 2% NDP 98% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 74% CPC 26% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 80% CPC 20% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 87% CPC 13% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 90% CPC 10% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 43.5% 48.0% 44% ± 8% LPC 23.9% 23.4% 17% ± 5% CPC 22.0% 21.0% 32% ± 7% GPC 8.3% 3.8% 5% ± 4% PPC 1.6% 3.7% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.