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New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
NDP likely
New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 43% ± 8% NDP 34% ± 7% CPC 16% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 4% GPC NDP 2021 48.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 94%▲ NDP 6%▼ CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 43% ± 8% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 41% CPC 37% LPC 15% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 41% CPC 36% LPC 15% GPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 42% CPC 35% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 42% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 43% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 42% CPC 34% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 44% CPC 33% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 44% CPC 31% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 45% CPC 31% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 41% CPC 33% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 41% CPC 33% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 40% CPC 34% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 40% CPC 33% LPC 19% GPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 41% CPC 33% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 42% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 42% CPC 33% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 43% CPC 33% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 43% CPC 32% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 43% CPC 33% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 41% CPC 33% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 41% CPC 34% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 41% CPC 34% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 41% CPC 35% LPC 17% GPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 43% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 43% CPC 34% LPC 16% GPC 5% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

LPC <1% CPC 6% NDP 94% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 74% CPC 26% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 80% CPC 20% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 87% CPC 13% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 90% CPC 10% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 84% CPC 16% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 87% CPC 13% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 89% CPC 11% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 89% CPC 11% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 87% CPC 13% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 43.5% 48.0% 43% ± 8% LPC 23.9% 23.4% 16% ± 5% CPC 22.0% 21.0% 34% ± 7% GPC 8.3% 3.8% 5% ± 4% PPC 1.6% 3.7% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.