338Canada | North Okanagan–Shuswap (British Columbia federal district)




59020 - North Okanagan–Shuswap

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 124,605 residents
Population density: 7.7 pop./km² (rank: 277 of 338)
Median household income: $62 153 (rank: 232 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Mel Arnold (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | North Okanagan–Shuswap


Shelley Desautels
Mel Arnold
Ron Johnston
Andrea Gunner
Kyle Delfing





Federal vote projection | North Okanagan–Shuswap

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | North Okanagan–Shuswap

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of North Okanagan–Shuswap



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | North Okanagan–Shuswap



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


North Okanagan–Shuswap


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
35.9% ± 8.0% 48.8% Outside confidence interval
20.4% ± 5.9% 22.6% Within confidence interval
27.5% ± 7.6% 15.3% Outside confidence interval
13.2% ± 4.6% 10.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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