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Canada

Airdrie—Cochrane



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Airdrie—Cochrane


Liberal Sean Secord
Conservative Blake Richards*
NDP Sarah Zagoda
PPC Tanner Staniewski
Christian Heritage Christopher Bell

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Airdrie—Cochrane 69% ± 7% CPC 21% ± 6% LPC 6% ± 3% NDP CPC 2021 59.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Airdrie—Cochrane >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Airdrie—Cochrane

LPC 21% ± 6% CPC 69% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Airdrie—Cochrane 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 62% NDP 13% LPC 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 59% LPC 16% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 60% LPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 60% LPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 59% LPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 60% LPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 60% LPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 60% LPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 60% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 60% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 60% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 61% LPC 21% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 62% LPC 21% NDP 8% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 62% LPC 21% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 64% LPC 21% NDP 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 64% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 65% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 65% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 65% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 67% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 67% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 69% LPC 20% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 68% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 68% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 68% LPC 20% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 69% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 69% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 69% LPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Airdrie—Cochrane

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Airdrie—Cochrane



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 77.0% 59.9% 69% ± 7% LPC 8.3% 10.2% 21% ± 6% NDP 8.5% 14.9% 6% ± 3% PPC 3.6% 8.2% 2% ± 3% GPC 2.5% 1.3% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.