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Last update: January 17, 2021
Leader | Jagmeet Singh |
National popular vote in 2019 | 16.0% |
Current vote projection | 18.7% ± 3.7% |
Current number of MP's | 24 |
Current seat projection | 31 ± 14 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vancouver East | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
2. | Elmwood–Transcona | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
3. | Vancouver Kingsway | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
4. | Courtenay–Alberni | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
5. | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
6. | Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
7. | Skeena–Bulkley Valley | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
8. | Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
9. | North Island–Powell River | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
10. | Hamilton Centre | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
11. | New Westminster–Burnaby | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
12. | London–Fanshawe | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
13. | Timmins–James Bay | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
14. | South Okanagan–West Kootenay | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
15. | Edmonton Strathcona | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
16. | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
17. | Burnaby South | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
18. | Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 98% |
19. | St. John's East | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 98% |
20. | Victoria | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 94% |
21. | Hamilton Mountain | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 93% |
22. | Windsor West | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP leaning | 90% |
23. | Winnipeg Centre | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP leaning | 84% |
24. | Nunavut | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP leaning | 82% |
25. | Saskatoon West | ![]() |
Toss up | 66% | |
26. | Essex | ![]() |
Toss up | 59% | |
27. | Oshawa | ![]() |
Toss up | 46% | |
28. | Kootenay–Columbia | ![]() |
Toss up | 45% | |
29. | Windsor–Tecumseh | ![]() |
Toss up | 43% | |
30. | Nickel Belt | ![]() |
Toss up | 41% | |
31. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | ![]() |
Toss up | 40% | |
32. | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River | ![]() |
Toss up | 40% | |
33. | Davenport | ![]() |
Toss up | 39% | |
34. | Kenora | ![]() |
Toss up | 36% | |
35. | Saskatoon–University | ![]() |
Toss up | 32% | |
36. | Yukon | ![]() |
Toss up | 31% | |
37. | Regina–Lewvan | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 26% | |
38. | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 26% | |
39. | Niagara Centre | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 24% | |
40. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | ![]() |
Toss up | 18% | |
41. | Sudbury | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 16% | |
42. | Edmonton Griesbach | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 14% | |
43. | Toronto–Danforth | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 14% | |
44. | Burnaby North–Seymour | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 11% | |
45. | Nanaimo–Ladysmith | ![]() |
GPC leaning | 10% | |
46. | Northwest Territories | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 10% | |
47. | Parkdale–High Park | ![]() |
LPC likely | 9% | |
48. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | ![]() |
Toss up | 9% | |
49. | Saskatoon–Grasswood | ![]() |
CPC likely | 8% | |
50. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | ![]() |
BQ likely | 8% | |
51. | Halifax | ![]() |
LPC likely | 6% | |
52. | Labrador | ![]() |
LPC likely | 4% | |
53. | Sydney–Victoria | ![]() |
LPC likely | 4% | |
54. | Ottawa Centre | ![]() |
LPC likely | 2% | |
55. | Sault Ste. Marie | ![]() |
LPC likely | 2% | |
56. | Jonquière | ![]() |
BQ likely | 2% | |
57. | Edmonton Centre | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 1% | |
58. | Brampton East | ![]() |
LPC likely | 1% | |
59. | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% | |
60. | Surrey Centre | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% | |
61. | Berthier–Maskinongé | ![]() |
BQ likely | <1% | |
62. | Laurier–Sainte-Marie | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% | |
63. | London North Centre | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% | |
64. | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% |