New Democratic Party

Latest update: June 14, 2026

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Projected gains and losses compared to 2025 results.

List of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party

	Districts and MPs	Current party	Projection
1.	Edmonton Strathcona Heather McPherson	N	NDP safe
2.	Courtenay—Alberni Gord Johns	N	NDP likely
3.	Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie Alexandre Boulerice	I	NDP likely
4.	Winnipeg Centre Leah Gazan	N	NDP leaning
5.	Vancouver East Jenny Kwan	N	NDP leaning
6.	Vancouver Kingsway Don Davies	N	NDP leaning
7.	Windsor West Harbinder Gill	C	Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
8.	London—Fanshawe Kurt Holman	C	Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
9.	North Island—Powell River Aaron Gunn	C	Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
10.	Skeena—Bulkley Valley Ellis Ross	C	Toss up CPC/NDP
11.	Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Jeff Kibble	C	Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
12.	Edmonton Griesbach Kerry Diotte	C	Toss up CPC/NDP
13.	Nunavut Lori Idlout [Elected as NDP]	L	Toss up LPC/NDP
14.	Elmwood—Transcona Colin Reynolds	C	Toss up CPC/NDP
15.	Hamilton Centre Aslam Rana	L	Toss up LPC/NDP
16.	New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Jake Sawatzky	L	LPC leaning
17.	Churchill—Keewatinook Aski Rebecca Chartrand	L	LPC leaning
18.	Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park Karim Bardeesy	L	LPC likely
19.	Berthier—Maskinongé Yves Perron	B	BQ leaning
20.	Kenora—Kiiwetinoong Eric Melillo	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
21.	Nanaimo—Ladysmith Tamara Kronis	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
22.	Saskatoon West Brad Redekopp	C	CPC likely
23.	Ottawa Centre Yasir Naqvi	L	LPC safe
24.	Davenport Julie Dzerowicz	L	LPC safe
25.	Northwest Territories Rebecca Alty	L	LPC likely