Leader	Jagmeet Singh
National popular vote in 2021	17.8%
Current vote projection	18.7% ± 3.0%
Current number of MPs	TBD
Current seat projection	23 [14-38]

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie	NDP safe	>99%
2.	Vancouver East	NDP safe	>99%
3.	Hamilton Centre	NDP safe	>99%
4.	Winnipeg Centre	NDP safe	>99%
5.	Vancouver Kingsway	NDP safe	>99%
6.	Victoria	NDP safe	>99%
7.	Edmonton Strathcona	NDP likely	>99%
8.	Windsor West	NDP likely	>99%
9.	Nunavut	NDP likely	>99%
10.	Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park	NDP likely	96%
11.	London—Fanshawe	NDP likely	96%
12.	New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville	NDP likely	94%
13.	Churchill—Keewatinook Aski	NDP likely	90%
14.	Davenport	NDP leaning	87%
15.	Laurier—Sainte-Marie	NDP leaning	87%
16.	Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke	NDP leaning	83%
17.	Ottawa Centre	NDP leaning	74%
18.	Spadina—Harbourfront	NDP leaning	74%
19.	Halifax	NDP leaning	73%
20.	Northwest Territories	Toss up LPC/NDP	69%
21.	Toronto—Danforth	Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	69%
22.	Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk	Toss up CPC/NDP	63%
23.	Burnaby Central	Toss up CPC/NDP	54%
24.	Outremont	Toss up LPC/NDP	48%
25.	St. John’s East	Toss up LPC/NDP	46%
26.	LaSalle—Émard—Verdun	Toss up NDP/BQ	41%
27.	Hamilton Mountain	Toss up CPC/NDP	40%
28.	Yukon	Toss up CPC/NDP	37%
29.	London Centre	Toss up CPC/NDP	35%
30.	Elmwood—Transcona	Toss up CPC/NDP	32%
31.	University—Rosedale	Toss up LPC/NDP	29%
32.	Kingston and the Islands	CPC leaning	24%
33.	Thunder Bay—Superior North	Toss up CPC/NDP	23%
34.	Edmonton Griesbach	CPC leaning	22%
35.	Cowichan—Malahat—Langford	CPC leaning	22%
36.	Dartmouth—Cole Harbour	LPC leaning	21%
37.	Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt	CPC leaning	19%
38.	Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore	CPC leaning	18%
39.	Courtenay—Alberni	CPC leaning	17%
40.	Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River	Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	15%
41.	Berthier—Maskinongé	BQ leaning	13%
42.	Papineau	LPC leaning	13%
43.	Sudbury	CPC likely	9%
44.	Toronto Centre	LPC likely	7%
45.	Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby	CPC leaning	5%
46.	Vancouver Granville	CPC likely	4%
47.	Vancouver Centre	CPC leaning	4%
48.	Halifax West	Toss up LPC/CPC	3%
49.	Guelph	CPC leaning	2%
50.	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount	LPC likely	2%
51.	Nanaimo—Ladysmith	CPC likely	2%
52.	Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester	LPC leaning	2%
53.	Surrey Centre	Toss up LPC/CPC	2%
54.	Surrey Newton	LPC likely	2%
55.	Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est	BQ likely	2%
56.	Skeena—Bulkley Valley	CPC likely	1%
57.	Labrador	CPC likely	1%
58.	Edmonton Centre	CPC likely	1%

New Democratic Party

Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024

Seat projection | December 15, 2024

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party