New Democratic Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Province	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Edmonton Strathcona			NDP safe hold	>99%
2.	Vancouver East			NDP safe hold	>99%
3.	Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie			NDP safe hold	>99%
4.	Vancouver Kingsway			NDP safe hold	>99%
5.	Elmwood–Transcona			NDP safe hold	>99%
6.	Hamilton Centre			NDP safe hold	>99%
7.	New Westminster–Burnaby			NDP safe hold	>99%
8.	Windsor West			NDP safe hold	>99%
9.	London–Fanshawe			NDP safe hold	>99%
10.	Victoria			NDP safe hold	>99%
11.	Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke			NDP safe hold	>99%
12.	Cowichan–Malahat–Langford			NDP likely hold	99%
13.	Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing			NDP likely hold	99%
14.	Winnipeg Centre			NDP likely hold	99%
15.	Burnaby South			NDP likely hold	99%
16.	Churchill–Keewatinook Aski			NDP likely hold	99%
17.	Nunavut			NDP likely hold	98%
18.	Courtenay–Alberni			NDP likely hold	98%
19.	Timmins–James Bay			NDP likely hold	97%
20.	Edmonton Griesbach			NDP likely hold	91%
21.	South Okanagan–West Kootenay			NDP leaning hold	85%
22.	Skeena–Bulkley Valley			NDP leaning hold	85%
23.	Port Moody–Coquitlam			NDP leaning hold	85%
24.	North Island–Powell River			NDP leaning hold	71%
25.	Vancouver Granville			Toss up LPC/NDP	66%
26.	Northwest Territories			Toss up LPC/NDP	60%
27.	Berthier–Maskinongé			Toss up NDP/BQ	51%
28.	Laurier–Sainte-Marie			Toss up LPC/NDP	49%
29.	Parkdale–High Park			Toss up LPC/NDP	49%
30.	Nanaimo–Ladysmith			Toss up CPC/NDP/GPC	48%
31.	Windsor–Tecumseh			Toss up LPC/NDP	39%
32.	Halifax			Toss up LPC/NDP	39%
33.	Davenport			Toss up LPC/NDP	36%
34.	Hamilton Mountain			Toss up LPC/NDP	35%
35.	Spadina–Fort York			Toss up LPC/NDP	35%
36.	Sudbury			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	34%
37.	Toronto–Danforth			Toss up LPC/NDP	34%
38.	Ottawa Centre			Toss up LPC/NDP	30%
39.	Nickel Belt			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	30%
40.	Saskatoon West			CPC leaning hold	25%
41.	Kingston and the Islands			LPC leaning hold	24%
42.	Thunder Bay–Rainy River			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	21%
43.	London North Centre			LPC leaning hold	20%
44.	Yukon			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	19%
45.	Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge			CPC leaning hold	18%
46.	Edmonton Centre			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	18%
47.	Regina–Lewvan			CPC leaning hold	17%
48.	Thunder Bay–Superior North			LPC leaning hold	17%
49.	Hamilton East–Stoney Creek			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	17%
50.	Vancouver Centre			LPC leaning hold	13%
51.	Essex			CPC leaning hold	13%
52.	Saskatoon–Grasswood			CPC leaning hold	12%
53.	Kootenay–Columbia			CPC leaning hold	12%
54.	St. John’s East			LPC leaning hold	11%
55.	Saskatoon–University			CPC leaning hold	11%
56.	Edmonton Manning			CPC leaning hold	11%
57.	Burnaby North–Seymour			LPC leaning hold	10%
58.	Niagara Centre			Toss up LPC/CPC	7%
59.	Kenora			CPC likely hold	7%
60.	West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country			Toss up LPC/CPC	6%
61.	Oshawa			CPC likely hold	5%
62.	London West			Toss up LPC/CPC	4%
63.	Outremont			LPC likely hold	4%
64.	Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam			LPC leaning hold	3%
65.	Labrador			LPC leaning hold	2%
66.	Hochelaga			LPC likely hold	2%