338Canada.com - New Democratic Party





Last update: June 20, 2021

LeaderJagmeet Singh
National popular vote in 201916.0%
Current vote projection18.9% ± 3.8%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection32 ± 16



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver East NDP safe >99%
2. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe >99%
3. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe >99%
4. Hamilton Centre NDP safe >99%
5. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe >99%
6. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe >99%
7. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe >99%
8. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe >99%
9. London–Fanshawe NDP safe >99%
10. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe >99%
11. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe >99%
12. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe >99%
13. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP safe >99%
14. North Island–Powell River NDP safe >99%
15. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely 99%
16. Burnaby South NDP likely 99%
17. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely 98%
18. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely 98%
19. Victoria NDP likely 98%
20. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely 97%
21. Windsor West NDP likely 95%
22. St. John`s East NDP leaning 88%
23. Nunavut NDP leaning 73%
24. Saskatoon West Toss up 68%
25. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up 57%
26. Essex Toss up 56%
27. Davenport Toss up 53%
28. Nickel Belt Toss up 48%
29. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up 48%
30. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Toss up 47%
31. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up 47%
32. Yukon Toss up 45%
33. Oshawa Toss up 45%
34. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up 44%
35. Kenora Toss up 40%
36. Saskatoon–University Toss up 40%
37. Niagara Centre Toss up 35%
38. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Toss up 34%
39. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up 30%
40. Kootenay–Columbia CPC leaning 28%
41. Sudbury LPC leaning 26%
42. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning 24%
43. Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning 21%
44. Northwest Territories LPC leaning 17%
45. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up 17%
46. Parkdale–High Park LPC leaning 17%
47. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning 15%
48. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC leaning 14%
49. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 10%
50. Edmonton Centre Toss up 7%
51. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up 6%
52. Ottawa Centre LPC likely 5%
53. Halifax LPC likely 5%
54. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning 4%
55. Brampton East LPC likely 3%
56. London North Centre LPC likely 2%
57. Surrey Centre LPC likely 2%
58. Labrador LPC likely <1%
59. Kildonan–St. Paul CPC leaning <1%
60. Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC likely <1%
61. Edmonton Manning CPC likely <1%
62. Thunder Bay–Superior North LPC likely <1%
63. St. Catharines LPC likely <1%
64. Kingston and the Islands LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Vancouver East NDP safe
2. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe
3. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe
4. Hamilton Centre NDP safe
5. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe
6. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
7. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe
8. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
9. London–Fanshawe NDP safe
10. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe
11. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe
12. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe
13. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP safe
14. North Island–Powell River NDP safe
15. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely
16. Burnaby South NDP likely
17. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely
18. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely
19. Victoria NDP likely
20. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely
21. Windsor West NDP likely
22. St. John`s East NDP leaning
23. Nunavut NDP leaning
24. Saskatoon West Toss up
25. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
26. Essex Toss up
27. Davenport Toss up
28. Nickel Belt Toss up
29. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up
30. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Toss up
31. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up
32. Yukon Toss up
33. Oshawa Toss up
34. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up
35. Kenora Toss up
36. Saskatoon–University Toss up
37. Niagara Centre Toss up
38. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Toss up
39. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up
40. Kootenay–Columbia CPC leaning
41. Sudbury LPC leaning
42. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning
43. Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning
44. Northwest Territories LPC leaning
45. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
46. Parkdale–High Park LPC leaning
47. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning
48. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC leaning
49. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
50. Edmonton Centre Toss up
51. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up
52. Ottawa Centre LPC likely
53. Halifax LPC likely
54. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning
55. Brampton East LPC likely
56. London North Centre LPC likely
57. Surrey Centre LPC likely
58. Labrador LPC likely
59. Kildonan–St. Paul CPC leaning
60. Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC likely
61. Edmonton Manning CPC likely
62. Thunder Bay–Superior North LPC likely
63. St. Catharines LPC likely
64. Kingston and the Islands LPC likely



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