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Last update: April 18, 2021
Leader | Jagmeet Singh |
National popular vote in 2019 | 16.0% |
Current vote projection | 17.3% ± 3.5% |
Current number of MP's | 24 |
Current seat projection | 27 ± 12 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Province | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vancouver East | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
2. | Elmwood–Transcona | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
3. | Edmonton Strathcona | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
4. | Hamilton Centre | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
5. | Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP safe | >99% |
6. | Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
7. | Vancouver Kingsway | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
8. | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
9. | London–Fanshawe | ![]() |
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NDP safe | >99% |
10. | Timmins–James Bay | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 99% |
11. | Courtenay–Alberni | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 99% |
12. | Skeena–Bulkley Valley | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 99% |
13. | New Westminster–Burnaby | ![]() |
![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
14. | North Island–Powell River | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 98% |
15. | Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 97% |
16. | South Okanagan–West Kootenay | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 93% |
17. | Burnaby South | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 91% |
18. | Hamilton Mountain | ![]() |
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NDP likely | 91% |
19. | Windsor West | ![]() |
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NDP leaning | 87% |
20. | Victoria | ![]() |
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NDP leaning | 85% |
21. | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | ![]() |
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NDP leaning | 85% |
22. | Winnipeg Centre | ![]() |
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NDP leaning | 78% |
23. | Nunavut | ![]() |
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NDP leaning | 75% |
24. | Saskatoon West | ![]() |
Toss up | 51% | |
25. | St. John`s East | ![]() |
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Toss up | 49% |
26. | Windsor–Tecumseh | ![]() |
Toss up | 36% | |
27. | Davenport | ![]() |
Toss up | 33% | |
28. | Essex | ![]() |
Toss up | 31% | |
29. | Nickel Belt | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 30% | |
30. | Edmonton Griesbach | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 29% | |
31. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | ![]() |
Toss up | 29% | |
32. | Yukon | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 23% | |
33. | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 21% | |
34. | Oshawa | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 21% | |
35. | Kenora | ![]() |
Toss up | 21% | |
36. | Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 18% | |
37. | Niagara Centre | ![]() |
Toss up | 17% | |
38. | Saskatoon–University | ![]() |
CPC leaning | 13% | |
39. | Sudbury | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 12% | |
40. | Nanaimo–Ladysmith | ![]() |
GPC leaning | 11% | |
41. | Toronto–Danforth | ![]() |
LPC leaning | 11% | |
42. | Kootenay–Columbia | ![]() |
CPC likely | 10% | |
43. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | ![]() |
BQ leaning | 9% | |
44. | Northwest Territories | ![]() |
LPC likely | 7% | |
45. | Parkdale–High Park | ![]() |
LPC likely | 6% | |
46. | Regina–Lewvan | ![]() |
CPC likely | 3% | |
47. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | ![]() |
Toss up | 3% | |
48. | Edmonton Centre | ![]() |
Toss up | 2% | |
49. | Jonquière | ![]() |
BQ likely | 2% | |
50. | Saskatoon–Grasswood | ![]() |
CPC likely | 2% | |
51. | Burnaby North–Seymour | ![]() |
LPC likely | 2% | |
52. | Ottawa Centre | ![]() |
LPC likely | 1% | |
53. | Berthier–Maskinongé | ![]() |
BQ likely | 1% | |
54. | Sault Ste. Marie | ![]() |
LPC leaning | <1% | |
55. | Brampton East | ![]() |
LPC likely | <1% | |
56. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | ![]() |
Toss up | <1% | |
57. | Edmonton Manning | ![]() |
CPC likely | <1% |