338Canada.com - New Democratic Party





Last update: November 29, 2020

LeaderJagmeet Singh
National popular vote in 201916.0%
Current vote projection18.3% ± 3.5%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection32 ± 13



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver East NDP safe >99%
2. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe >99%
3. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe >99%
4. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe >99%
5. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe >99%
6. Hamilton Centre NDP safe >99%
7. North Island–Powell River NDP safe >99%
8. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe >99%
9. London–Fanshawe NDP safe >99%
10. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe >99%
11. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe >99%
12. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe >99%
13. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe >99%
14. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP safe >99%
15. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe >99%
16. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP safe >99%
17. Burnaby South NDP likely 99%
18. Victoria NDP likely 97%
19. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely 97%
20. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely 96%
21. Windsor West NDP likely 95%
22. St. John's East NDP likely 93%
23. Kootenay–Columbia NDP likely 90%
24. Nunavut NDP likely 90%
25. Winnipeg Centre Toss up 69%
26. Davenport Toss up 65%
27. Saskatoon West Toss up 59%
28. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up 56%
29. Nickel Belt Toss up 55%
30. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up 55%
31. Essex Toss up 53%
32. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up 50%
33. Kenora Toss up 47%
34. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up 38%
35. Yukon Toss up 36%
36. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up 34%
37. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Toss up 31%
38. Niagara Centre Toss up 30%
39. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up 30%
40. Sudbury LPC leaning 26%
41. Oshawa CPC leaning 25%
42. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning 24%
43. Saskatoon–University CPC leaning 18%
44. Parkdale–High Park LPC leaning 16%
45. Northwest Territories LPC leaning 15%
46. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC likely 9%
47. Regina–Lewvan CPC likely 9%
48. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge LPC leaning 8%
49. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 8%
50. Ottawa Centre LPC likely 5%
51. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning 3%
52. Brampton East LPC likely 3%
53. London North Centre LPC likely 2%
54. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely 2%
55. Jonquière BQ likely 2%
56. Labrador LPC likely 2%
57. Halifax LPC likely 1%
58. Sydney–Victoria LPC likely <1%
59. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely <1%
60. Edmonton Centre CPC leaning <1%
61. Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC likely <1%
62. Surrey Centre LPC likely <1%
63. Kingston and the Islands LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Vancouver East NDP safe
2. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe
3. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe
4. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe
5. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe
6. Hamilton Centre NDP safe
7. North Island–Powell River NDP safe
8. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
9. London–Fanshawe NDP safe
10. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
11. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe
12. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
13. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe
14. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP safe
15. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe
16. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP safe
17. Burnaby South NDP likely
18. Victoria NDP likely
19. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely
20. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely
21. Windsor West NDP likely
22. St. John's East NDP likely
23. Kootenay–Columbia NDP likely
24. Nunavut NDP likely
25. Winnipeg Centre Toss up
26. Davenport Toss up
27. Saskatoon West Toss up
28. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
29. Nickel Belt Toss up
30. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
31. Essex Toss up
32. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up
33. Kenora Toss up
34. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up
35. Yukon Toss up
36. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up
37. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Toss up
38. Niagara Centre Toss up
39. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up
40. Sudbury LPC leaning
41. Oshawa CPC leaning
42. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning
43. Saskatoon–University CPC leaning
44. Parkdale–High Park LPC leaning
45. Northwest Territories LPC leaning
46. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC likely
47. Regina–Lewvan CPC likely
48. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge LPC leaning
49. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
50. Ottawa Centre LPC likely
51. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning
52. Brampton East LPC likely
53. London North Centre LPC likely
54. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely
55. Jonquière BQ likely
56. Labrador LPC likely
57. Halifax LPC likely
58. Sydney–Victoria LPC likely
59. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
60. Edmonton Centre CPC leaning
61. Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC likely
62. Surrey Centre LPC likely
63. Kingston and the Islands LPC likely