338Canada.com - New Democratic Party





Last update: January 17, 2021

LeaderJagmeet Singh
National popular vote in 201916.0%
Current vote projection18.7% ± 3.7%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection31 ± 14



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver East NDP safe >99%
2. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe >99%
3. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe >99%
4. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe >99%
5. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe >99%
6. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe >99%
7. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe >99%
8. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe >99%
9. North Island–Powell River NDP safe >99%
10. Hamilton Centre NDP safe >99%
11. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe >99%
12. London–Fanshawe NDP safe >99%
13. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe >99%
14. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely 99%
15. Edmonton Strathcona NDP likely 99%
16. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely 99%
17. Burnaby South NDP likely 99%
18. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely 98%
19. St. John's East NDP likely 98%
20. Victoria NDP likely 94%
21. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely 93%
22. Windsor West NDP leaning 90%
23. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning 84%
24. Nunavut NDP leaning 82%
25. Saskatoon West Toss up 66%
26. Essex Toss up 59%
27. Oshawa Toss up 46%
28. Kootenay–Columbia Toss up 45%
29. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up 43%
30. Nickel Belt Toss up 41%
31. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up 40%
32. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up 40%
33. Davenport Toss up 39%
34. Kenora Toss up 36%
35. Saskatoon–University Toss up 32%
36. Yukon Toss up 31%
37. Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning 26%
38. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek LPC leaning 26%
39. Niagara Centre LPC leaning 24%
40. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up 18%
41. Sudbury LPC leaning 16%
42. Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning 14%
43. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning 14%
44. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning 11%
45. Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning 10%
46. Northwest Territories LPC leaning 10%
47. Parkdale–High Park LPC likely 9%
48. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up 9%
49. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely 8%
50. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ likely 8%
51. Halifax LPC likely 6%
52. Labrador LPC likely 4%
53. Sydney–Victoria LPC likely 4%
54. Ottawa Centre LPC likely 2%
55. Sault Ste. Marie LPC likely 2%
56. Jonquière BQ likely 2%
57. Edmonton Centre CPC leaning 1%
58. Brampton East LPC likely 1%
59. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook LPC likely <1%
60. Surrey Centre LPC likely <1%
61. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely <1%
62. Laurier–Sainte-Marie LPC likely <1%
63. London North Centre LPC likely <1%
64. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Vancouver East NDP safe
2. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe
3. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe
4. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe
5. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe
6. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
7. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe
8. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
9. North Island–Powell River NDP safe
10. Hamilton Centre NDP safe
11. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe
12. London–Fanshawe NDP safe
13. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe
14. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely
15. Edmonton Strathcona NDP likely
16. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely
17. Burnaby South NDP likely
18. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely
19. St. John's East NDP likely
20. Victoria NDP likely
21. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely
22. Windsor West NDP leaning
23. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
24. Nunavut NDP leaning
25. Saskatoon West Toss up
26. Essex Toss up
27. Oshawa Toss up
28. Kootenay–Columbia Toss up
29. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
30. Nickel Belt Toss up
31. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up
32. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up
33. Davenport Toss up
34. Kenora Toss up
35. Saskatoon–University Toss up
36. Yukon Toss up
37. Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning
38. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek LPC leaning
39. Niagara Centre LPC leaning
40. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
41. Sudbury LPC leaning
42. Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning
43. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning
44. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning
45. Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning
46. Northwest Territories LPC leaning
47. Parkdale–High Park LPC likely
48. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up
49. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely
50. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ likely
51. Halifax LPC likely
52. Labrador LPC likely
53. Sydney–Victoria LPC likely
54. Ottawa Centre LPC likely
55. Sault Ste. Marie LPC likely
56. Jonquière BQ likely
57. Edmonton Centre CPC leaning
58. Brampton East LPC likely
59. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook LPC likely
60. Surrey Centre LPC likely
61. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
62. Laurier–Sainte-Marie LPC likely
63. London North Centre LPC likely
64. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour LPC likely



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