338Canada.com - New Democratic Party





Last update: April 18, 2021

LeaderJagmeet Singh
National popular vote in 201916.0%
Current vote projection17.3% ± 3.5%
Current number of MP's24
Current seat projection27 ± 12



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver East NDP safe >99%
2. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe >99%
3. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe >99%
4. Hamilton Centre NDP safe >99%
5. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe >99%
6. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe >99%
7. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe >99%
8. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe >99%
9. London–Fanshawe NDP safe >99%
10. Timmins–James Bay NDP likely 99%
11. Courtenay–Alberni NDP likely 99%
12. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP likely 99%
13. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP likely 99%
14. North Island–Powell River NDP likely 98%
15. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely 97%
16. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely 93%
17. Burnaby South NDP likely 91%
18. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely 91%
19. Windsor West NDP leaning 87%
20. Victoria NDP leaning 85%
21. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP leaning 85%
22. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning 78%
23. Nunavut NDP leaning 75%
24. Saskatoon West Toss up 51%
25. St. John`s East Toss up 49%
26. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up 36%
27. Davenport Toss up 33%
28. Essex Toss up 31%
29. Nickel Belt LPC leaning 30%
30. Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning 29%
31. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up 29%
32. Yukon LPC leaning 23%
33. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek LPC leaning 21%
34. Oshawa CPC leaning 21%
35. Kenora Toss up 21%
36. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River CPC leaning 18%
37. Niagara Centre Toss up 17%
38. Saskatoon–University CPC leaning 13%
39. Sudbury LPC leaning 12%
40. Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning 11%
41. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning 11%
42. Kootenay–Columbia CPC likely 10%
43. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 9%
44. Northwest Territories LPC likely 7%
45. Parkdale–High Park LPC likely 6%
46. Regina–Lewvan CPC likely 3%
47. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up 3%
48. Edmonton Centre Toss up 2%
49. Jonquière BQ likely 2%
50. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely 2%
51. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC likely 2%
52. Ottawa Centre LPC likely 1%
53. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 1%
54. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning <1%
55. Brampton East LPC likely <1%
56. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up <1%
57. Edmonton Manning CPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Vancouver East NDP safe
2. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe
3. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
4. Hamilton Centre NDP safe
5. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
6. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
7. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe
8. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe
9. London–Fanshawe NDP safe
10. Timmins–James Bay NDP likely
11. Courtenay–Alberni NDP likely
12. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP likely
13. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP likely
14. North Island–Powell River NDP likely
15. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely
16. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely
17. Burnaby South NDP likely
18. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely
19. Windsor West NDP leaning
20. Victoria NDP leaning
21. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP leaning
22. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
23. Nunavut NDP leaning
24. Saskatoon West Toss up
25. St. John`s East Toss up
26. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
27. Davenport Toss up
28. Essex Toss up
29. Nickel Belt LPC leaning
30. Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning
31. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up
32. Yukon LPC leaning
33. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek LPC leaning
34. Oshawa CPC leaning
35. Kenora Toss up
36. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River CPC leaning
37. Niagara Centre Toss up
38. Saskatoon–University CPC leaning
39. Sudbury LPC leaning
40. Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning
41. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning
42. Kootenay–Columbia CPC likely
43. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
44. Northwest Territories LPC likely
45. Parkdale–High Park LPC likely
46. Regina–Lewvan CPC likely
47. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
48. Edmonton Centre Toss up
49. Jonquière BQ likely
50. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely
51. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC likely
52. Ottawa Centre LPC likely
53. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
54. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning
55. Brampton East LPC likely
56. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up
57. Edmonton Manning CPC likely



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