338Canada.com - New Democratic Party





Last update: February 28, 2021

LeaderJagmeet Singh
National popular vote in 201916.0%
Current vote projection18.5% ± 3.7%
Current number of MP's0
Current seat projection31 ± 14



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver East NDP safe >99%
2. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe >99%
3. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe >99%
4. Hamilton Centre NDP safe >99%
5. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe >99%
6. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe >99%
7. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe >99%
8. London–Fanshawe NDP safe >99%
9. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe >99%
10. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe >99%
11. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe >99%
12. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe >99%
13. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe >99%
14. North Island–Powell River NDP safe >99%
15. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely 99%
16. Burnaby South NDP likely 98%
17. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely 98%
18. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely 97%
19. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely 97%
20. Victoria NDP likely 96%
21. Windsor West NDP likely 95%
22. Nunavut NDP leaning 87%
23. St. John's East NDP leaning 86%
24. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning 84%
25. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up 56%
26. Nickel Belt Toss up 55%
27. Saskatoon West Toss up 53%
28. Davenport Toss up 53%
29. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up 52%
30. Essex Toss up 49%
31. Yukon Toss up 39%
32. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up 38%
33. Oshawa Toss up 37%
34. Kenora Toss up 36%
35. Niagara Centre Toss up 33%
36. Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning 29%
37. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up 26%
38. Sudbury LPC leaning 25%
39. Kootenay–Columbia CPC leaning 25%
40. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning 24%
41. Saskatoon–University CPC leaning 20%
42. Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning 19%
43. Parkdale–High Park LPC leaning 17%
44. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 16%
45. Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning 16%
46. Northwest Territories LPC leaning 14%
47. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up 12%
48. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning 11%
49. Ottawa Centre LPC likely 5%
50. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up 4%
51. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely 4%
52. Halifax LPC likely 4%
53. Edmonton Centre Toss up 4%
54. Laurier–Sainte-Marie LPC likely 4%
55. Jonquière BQ leaning 4%
56. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning 3%
57. Brampton East LPC likely 3%
58. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely 2%
59. London North Centre LPC likely 2%
60. Edmonton Manning CPC leaning <1%
61. Surrey Centre LPC likely <1%
62. Labrador LPC likely <1%
63. Hochelaga Toss up <1%
64. Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC likely <1%
65. Sherbrooke LPC leaning <1%
66. Kingston and the Islands LPC likely <1%
67. Thunder Bay–Superior North LPC likely <1%
68. St. Catharines LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Vancouver East NDP safe
2. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
3. Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe
4. Hamilton Centre NDP safe
5. Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe
6. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe
7. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
8. London–Fanshawe NDP safe
9. New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe
10. Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe
11. Timmins–James Bay NDP safe
12. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
13. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe
14. North Island–Powell River NDP safe
15. Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely
16. Burnaby South NDP likely
17. South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely
18. Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely
19. Hamilton Mountain NDP likely
20. Victoria NDP likely
21. Windsor West NDP likely
22. Nunavut NDP leaning
23. St. John's East NDP leaning
24. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
25. Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
26. Nickel Belt Toss up
27. Saskatoon West Toss up
28. Davenport Toss up
29. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up
30. Essex Toss up
31. Yukon Toss up
32. Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up
33. Oshawa Toss up
34. Kenora Toss up
35. Niagara Centre Toss up
36. Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning
37. Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up
38. Sudbury LPC leaning
39. Kootenay–Columbia CPC leaning
40. Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning
41. Saskatoon–University CPC leaning
42. Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning
43. Parkdale–High Park LPC leaning
44. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
45. Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning
46. Northwest Territories LPC leaning
47. Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
48. Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning
49. Ottawa Centre LPC likely
50. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up
51. Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely
52. Halifax LPC likely
53. Edmonton Centre Toss up
54. Laurier–Sainte-Marie LPC likely
55. Jonquière BQ leaning
56. Sault Ste. Marie LPC leaning
57. Brampton East LPC likely
58. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
59. London North Centre LPC likely
60. Edmonton Manning CPC leaning
61. Surrey Centre LPC likely
62. Labrador LPC likely
63. Hochelaga Toss up
64. Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC likely
65. Sherbrooke LPC leaning
66. Kingston and the Islands LPC likely
67. Thunder Bay–Superior North LPC likely
68. St. Catharines LPC likely



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