New Democratic Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Province	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Edmonton Strathcona			NDP safe hold	>99%
2.	Vancouver East			NDP safe hold	>99%
3.	Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie			NDP safe hold	>99%
4.	Hamilton Centre			NDP safe hold	>99%
5.	Elmwood–Transcona			NDP safe hold	>99%
6.	Windsor West			NDP safe hold	>99%
7.	London–Fanshawe			NDP safe hold	>99%
8.	New Westminster–Burnaby			NDP safe hold	>99%
9.	Vancouver Kingsway			NDP safe hold	>99%
10.	Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke			NDP safe hold	>99%
11.	Victoria			NDP safe hold	>99%
12.	Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing			NDP likely hold	99%
13.	Winnipeg Centre			NDP likely hold	99%
14.	Cowichan–Malahat–Langford			NDP likely hold	99%
15.	Nunavut			NDP likely hold	98%
16.	Churchill–Keewatinook Aski			NDP likely hold	98%
17.	Timmins–James Bay			NDP likely hold	97%
18.	Courtenay–Alberni			NDP likely hold	96%
19.	Edmonton Griesbach			NDP likely hold	96%
20.	Burnaby South			NDP likely hold	91%
21.	South Okanagan–West Kootenay			NDP leaning hold	77%
22.	Skeena–Bulkley Valley			NDP leaning hold	77%
23.	Port Moody–Coquitlam			NDP leaning hold	75%
24.	Davenport			Toss up LPC/NDP	61%
25.	North Island–Powell River			Toss up CPC/NDP	61%
26.	Windsor–Tecumseh			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	58%
27.	Hamilton Mountain			Toss up LPC/NDP	56%
28.	Parkdale–High Park			Toss up LPC/NDP	56%
29.	Toronto–Danforth			Toss up LPC/NDP	47%
30.	Nanaimo–Ladysmith			Toss up CPC/NDP	46%
31.	Spadina–Fort York			Toss up LPC/NDP	43%
32.	Northwest Territories			Toss up LPC/NDP	41%
33.	Laurier–Sainte-Marie			Toss up LPC/NDP	38%
34.	Halifax			Toss up LPC/NDP	35%
35.	Thunder Bay–Superior North			Toss up LPC/NDP	34%
36.	Ottawa Centre			Toss up LPC/NDP	31%
37.	Sudbury			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	30%
38.	Kingston and the Islands			Toss up LPC/NDP	30%
39.	Vancouver Granville			Toss up LPC/NDP	30%
40.	Hamilton East–Stoney Creek			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	28%
41.	Nickel Belt			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	28%
42.	Edmonton Centre			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	26%
43.	Thunder Bay–Rainy River			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	24%
44.	London North Centre			Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP	21%
45.	Saskatoon West			CPC leaning hold	21%
46.	Berthier–Maskinongé			BQ leaning hold	19%
47.	Yukon			LPC leaning hold	19%
48.	Edmonton Manning			CPC leaning hold	17%
49.	Regina–Lewvan			CPC leaning hold	14%
50.	Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge			CPC leaning hold	12%
51.	Essex			CPC leaning hold	11%
52.	Niagara Centre			CPC leaning gain	10%
53.	Saskatoon–Grasswood			CPC likely hold	10%
54.	St. John’s East			LPC likely hold	9%
55.	Saskatoon–University			CPC likely hold	8%
56.	Outremont			LPC likely hold	8%
57.	Kootenay–Columbia			CPC likely hold	7%
58.	London West			CPC leaning gain	7%
59.	Kenora			CPC likely hold	6%
60.	Oshawa			CPC likely hold	5%
61.	Hochelaga			LPC leaning hold	3%
62.	University–Rosedale			LPC likely hold	3%
63.	Toronto Centre			LPC likely hold	2%
64.	Nipissing–Timiskaming			Toss up LPC/CPC	2%
65.	Labrador			LPC likely hold	2%
66.	Vancouver Centre			LPC likely hold	2%