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Canada

Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount


MP elect: Anna Gainey (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount


Liberal Anna Gainey*
Conservative Neil Drabkin
NDP Malcolm Lewis-Richmond
Green Arnold Downey
Bloc Quebecois Felix-Antoine Brault
PPC Marc Perez
Marxist-Leninist Rachel Hoffman
Rhinoceros Stephen Hensley
Independent Alex Trainman Montagano

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount 64% ± 6% LPC 20% ± 5% CPC 7% ± 3% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ LPC 2025 64.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount

LPC 64% ± 6% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 3% BQ 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 35% NDP 25% CPC 24% BQ 7% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 35% NDP 24% CPC 24% BQ 7% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 35% NDP 24% CPC 24% BQ 7% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 37% NDP 24% CPC 23% BQ 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 41% NDP 22% CPC 21% BQ 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 44% CPC 21% NDP 20% BQ 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 47% CPC 21% NDP 17% BQ 6% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 50% CPC 20% NDP 16% BQ 5% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 20% NDP 16% BQ 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 53% CPC 19% NDP 14% BQ 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 19% NDP 14% BQ 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 19% NDP 13% BQ 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 19% NDP 13% BQ 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 19% NDP 13% BQ 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 19% NDP 13% BQ 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 18% NDP 13% BQ 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 58% CPC 18% NDP 11% BQ 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 18% NDP 11% BQ 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 59% CPC 18% NDP 11% BQ 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 64% CPC 18% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 64% CPC 18% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 64% CPC 18% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 64% CPC 18% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 64% CPC 18% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 65% CPC 17% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 64% CPC 17% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 17% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 63% CPC 17% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 62% CPC 17% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 62% CPC 17% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 60% CPC 19% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 59% CPC 19% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 58% CPC 20% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 58% CPC 20% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 58% CPC 20% NDP 10% BQ 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 58% CPC 20% NDP 10% BQ 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% CPC 20% NDP 9% BQ 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 7% BQ 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 7% BQ 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 7% BQ 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 7% BQ 5% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 98% NDP 2% CPC 1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 96% NDP 2% CPC 2% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 97% NDP 2% CPC 1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 64% ± 6% 55.1% 52.8% 64.0% CPC 20% ± 5% 10.8% 13.5% 19.7% NDP 7% ± 3% 16.3% 20.1% 7.4% BQ 5% ± 3% 5.7% 6.0% 5.0% GPC 2% ± 2% 10.6% 4.0% 2.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 1% 1.1% 3.3% 0.5%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.