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Canada

Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
LPC likely
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount 36% ± 7%▼ LPC 26% ± 6%▲ NDP 20% ± 5%▼ CPC 7% ± 4% GPC 7% ± 4% BQ LPC 2021 52.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount 98%▼ LPC 2%▲ NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 26% ± 6% GPC 7% ± 4% BQ 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 48% NDP 19% CPC 18% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 48% NDP 19% CPC 17% BQ 7% GPC 6% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 49% NDP 19% CPC 16% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 49% NDP 19% CPC 17% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 48% NDP 19% CPC 18% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 48% NDP 19% CPC 18% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 44% CPC 21% NDP 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 43% CPC 21% NDP 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 43% CPC 20% NDP 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 43% CPC 20% NDP 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 44% CPC 20% NDP 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 44% CPC 20% NDP 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 45% NDP 20% CPC 19% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 45% NDP 20% CPC 19% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 44% CPC 21% NDP 20% GPC 6% BQ 6% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 45% CPC 20% NDP 19% GPC 6% BQ 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 46% CPC 20% NDP 20% GPC 6% BQ 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 45% NDP 20% CPC 19% GPC 7% BQ 5% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 45% NDP 20% CPC 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 41% NDP 23% CPC 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 39% NDP 24% CPC 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 39% NDP 25% CPC 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 39% NDP 24% CPC 20% GPC 7% BQ 6% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 40% NDP 24% CPC 19% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 41% NDP 23% CPC 19% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 41% NDP 23% CPC 19% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 41% NDP 23% CPC 20% BQ 7% GPC 7% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 40% NDP 23% CPC 20% BQ 7% GPC 7% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 38% NDP 23% CPC 21% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 38% NDP 24% CPC 21% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 37% NDP 25% CPC 21% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 36% NDP 26% CPC 20% GPC 7% BQ 7% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount

LPC 98% CPC <1% NDP 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 98% NDP 2% CPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.1% 52.8% 36% ± 7% NDP 16.3% 20.1% 26% ± 6% CPC 10.8% 13.5% 20% ± 5% BQ 5.7% 6.0% 7% ± 4% GPC 10.6% 4.0% 7% ± 4% PPC 1.1% 3.3% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.