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Canada

Toronto—Danforth


MP elect: Julie Dabrusin (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Toronto—Danforth


Liberal Julie Dabrusin*
Conservative Ashik Hussain
NDP Claire Hacksel
Green Silvia Stardust
Animal Protection Liz White

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Toronto—Danforth 67% ± 0%▲ LPC 19% ± 0%▼ CPC 13% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 66.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Toronto—Danforth >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Toronto—Danforth

LPC 67% ± 0% CPC 19% ± 0% NDP 13% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Toronto—Danforth 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 26% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 46% CPC 25% NDP 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 49% CPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 49% CPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 49% CPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 49% CPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 50% CPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 53% CPC 24% NDP 15% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 53% CPC 24% NDP 15% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 53% CPC 24% NDP 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 55% CPC 25% NDP 13% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 57% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 58% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 59% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 25% NDP 13% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 59% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 58% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 58% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 58% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 58% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 56% CPC 25% NDP 14% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 57% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 56% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 54% CPC 25% NDP 16% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 67% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Toronto—Danforth

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Toronto—Danforth



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 67% ± 0% 47.7% 48.4% 66.6% CPC 19% ± 0% 10.5% 12.6% 19.0% NDP 13% ± 0% 33.2% 33.7% 13.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 6.5% 2.0% 1.1% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.1% 2.5% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.