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Canada


University–Rosedale (federal)


MP: Chrystia Freeland (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

LPC leaning hold
University–Rosedale 34% ± 7% 29% ± 6% 25% ± 6% 11% ± 5% LPC 2021 47.61% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% University–Rosedale 81%▼ 17%▲ 3%▲ Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | University–Rosedale

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 29% ± 6% GPC 11% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | University–Rosedale 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | University–Rosedale

LPC 81% CPC 3% NDP 17% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | University–Rosedale



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.8% 51.7% 47.61% 34% ± 7% NDP 28.6% 21.9% 24.88% 29% ± 6% CPC 17.5% 16.3% 20.33% 25% ± 6% GPC 2.9% 8.5% 4.16% 11% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.9% 2.5% 2% ± 2%