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Canada

Fleetwood—Port Kells


Latest projection: September 8, 2024
CPC leaning
Fleetwood—Port Kells 41% ± 8% CPC 37% ± 8%▲ LPC 17% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% GPC LPC 2021 45.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fleetwood—Port Kells 74%▼ CPC 26%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | September 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Fleetwood—Port Kells

LPC 37% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Fleetwood—Port Kells 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 16% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 17% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 17% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 45% LPC 34% NDP 17% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 44% LPC 34% NDP 17% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 17% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 42% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 40% LPC 36% NDP 18% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 19% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 18% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 17% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-09-08

Odds of winning | Fleetwood—Port Kells

LPC 26% CPC 74% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-09-08

Recent electoral history | Fleetwood—Port Kells



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.2% 45.9% 37% ± 8% CPC 38.7% 28.5% 41% ± 8% NDP 6.1% 20.3% 17% ± 5% PPC 2.6% 2.9% 2% ± 2% GPC 6.1% 1.9% 3% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.