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Canada

Fleetwood—Port Kells



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Fleetwood—Port Kells


Liberal Gurbux Saini
Conservative Sukh Pandher
NDP Shannon Permal
Green Murali Krishnan
PPC John Hetherington

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Fleetwood—Port Kells 57% ± 9% LPC 33% ± 8% CPC 8% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 45.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fleetwood—Port Kells >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Fleetwood—Port Kells

LPC 57% ± 9% CPC 33% ± 8% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Fleetwood—Port Kells 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 49% CPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% CPC 34% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 63% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Fleetwood—Port Kells

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Fleetwood—Port Kells



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.2% 45.9% 57% ± 9% CPC 38.7% 28.5% 33% ± 8% NDP 6.1% 20.3% 8% ± 4% GPC 6.1% 1.9% 1% ± 1% PPC 2.6% 2.9% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.