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Canada

Fleetwood—Port Kells


MP elect: Gurbux Saini (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Fleetwood—Port Kells


Liberal Gurbux Saini
Conservative Sukh Pandher
NDP Shannon Permal
Green Murali Krishnan
PPC John Hetherington

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Fleetwood—Port Kells 48% ± 0%▼ LPC 44% ± 0%▲ CPC 6% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 47.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fleetwood—Port Kells 79%▼ LPC 21%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Fleetwood—Port Kells

LPC 48% ± 0% CPC 44% ± 0% NDP 6% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Fleetwood—Port Kells 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 49% CPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% CPC 34% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 63% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Fleetwood—Port Kells

LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Fleetwood—Port Kells



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 48% ± 0% 46.2% 45.9% 47.9% CPC 44% ± 0% 38.7% 28.5% 44.2% NDP 6% ± 0% 6.1% 20.3% 6.0% PPC 1% ± 0% 2.6% 2.9% 1.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 6.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.