338Canada | Bay of Quinte (Ontario federal district)

35006 - Bay of Quinte

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 109,735 residents
Population density: 67.7 pop./km² (rank: 210 of 338)
Median household income: $62 034 (rank: 234 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Neil Ellis (LPC)

Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Bay of Quinte

Last update: July 25, 2021

Odds of winning | Bay of Quinte

Last update: July 25, 2021

Electoral history of Bay of Quinte

(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)

Map of Bay of Quinte

(Credits: Elections Canada)

Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Bay of Quinte

On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.

Bay of Quinte

Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.9% ± 8.7% 39.2% Within confidence interval
31.6% ± 7.9% 36.8% Within confidence interval
16.1% ± 5.6% 16.0% Within confidence interval

*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.

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