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Canada


Central Nova (federal)


MP: Sean Fraser (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC leaning hold
Central Nova 44% ± 8% LPC 35% ± 8% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% PPC 2% ± 2% GPC LPC 2021 46.15% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Central Nova 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Central Nova

LPC 44% ± 8% CPC 35% ± 8% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Central Nova 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Central Nova

LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Central Nova



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 58.5% 46.6% 46.15% 44% ± 8% CPC 25.8% 29.7% 32.26% 35% ± 8% NDP 10.2% 13.1% 15.41% 16% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.1% 3.57% 3% ± 3% GPC 4.1% 7.8% 1.21% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%