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Central Nova (federal)
MP: Sean Fraser (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC leaning hold
Central Nova
44% ± 8%
LPC
35% ± 8%
CPC
16% ± 5%
NDP
3% ± 3%
PPC
2% ± 2%
GPC
LPC 2021
46.15%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Central Nova
89%
LPC
11%
CPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Central Nova
LPC 44% ± 8%
CPC 35% ± 8%
NDP 16% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Central Nova
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
Odds of winning | Central Nova
LPC 89%
CPC 11%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Central Nova
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
58.5%
46.6%
46.15%
44% ± 8%
CPC
25.8%
29.7%
32.26%
35% ± 8%
NDP
10.2%
13.1%
15.41%
16% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
2.1%
3.57%
3% ± 3%
GPC
4.1%
7.8%
1.21%
2% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%