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Canada

Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish


MP elect: Jaime Battiste (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish


Liberal Jaime Battiste
Conservative Allan MacMaster
NDP Joanna Clark
PPC Ryan Smyth
Independent Rebecca Wall

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish 52% ± 7%▲ LPC 43% ± 7%▼ CPC 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 51.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish

LPC 52% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 53% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 52% LPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 51% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 56% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 56% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 37% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% CPC 37% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 50% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 51% CPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 51% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 51% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 52% CPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish

LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 52% ± 7% 41.4% 45.4% 51.6% CPC 43% ± 7% 30.9% 35.1% 43.2% NDP 4% ± 3% 14.0% 14.7% 4.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.8% 4.0% 0.7% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 8.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.