338Canada | Central Nova (Nova Scotia federal district)




12002 - Central Nova

Province: Nova Scotia
Population (2016): 71,960 residents
Population density: 7.73 pop./km² (rank: 276 of 338)
Median household income: $58 286 (rank: 266 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Sean Fraser (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

Your browser does not support the canvas element.



2021 Candidates | Central Nova


Sean Fraser
Steve Cotter
Betsy MacDonald
Katerina Nikas
Al Muir
Chris Frazer (Comm.)
Ryan Smyth (Rhino)
Harvey Henderson





Federal vote projection | Central Nova

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Central Nova

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Central Nova



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Central Nova



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Central Nova


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner
34.4% ± 8.5% 46.6% Outside confidence interval
35.2% ± 8.5% 29.7% Within confidence interval
15.0% ± 5.7% 13.1% Within confidence interval
13.2% ± 5.4% 7.8% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







Qc125.com © 2016-2021 - #1012