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Canada


Thornhill (federal)


MP: Melissa Lantsman (CPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

CPC safe hold
Thornhill 54% ± 8% CPC 33% ± 7% LPC 7% ± 3% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC CPC 2021 51.35% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Thornhill >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Thornhill

LPC 33% ± 7% CPC 54% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Thornhill 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Thornhill

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Thornhill



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 58.6% 54.6% 51.35% 54% ± 8% LPC 33.8% 35.4% 36.28% 33% ± 7% NDP 5.2% 6.5% 6.05% 7% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 4.64% 2% ± 2% GPC 1.2% 3.0% 1.69% 4% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%