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Canada

Edmonton Northwest


MP elect: Billy Morin (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Edmonton Northwest


Liberal Lindsey Machona
Conservative Billy Morin
NDP Omar Abubakar
Green Colleen Rice
PPC Albert Carson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Northwest 53% ± 0%▲ CPC 38% ± 0%▼ LPC 7% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 53.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Northwest >99%▲ CPC <1%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Northwest

LPC 38% ± 0% CPC 53% ± 0% NDP 7% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Northwest 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 25% NDP 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 45% LPC 38% NDP 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 15% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 15% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 44% LPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 44% LPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 10% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 53% LPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Northwest

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Northwest



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 53% ± 0% 58.6% 43.1% 53.4% LPC 38% ± 0% 21.8% 22.9% 38.3% NDP 7% ± 0% 15.1% 27.6% 6.6% PPC 1% ± 0% 2.1% 6.2% 1.1% GPC 1% ± 0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.