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Edmonton Northwest



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Edmonton Northwest


Liberal Lindsey Machona
Conservative Billy Morin
NDP Omar Abubakar
Green Colleen Rice
PPC Albert Carson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Northwest 45% ± 9% CPC 43% ± 8% LPC 10% ± 5% NDP CPC 2021 43.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Northwest 63%▼ CPC 37%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Northwest

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 45% ± 9% NDP 10% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Northwest 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 25% NDP 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 45% LPC 38% NDP 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 15% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 15% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 44% LPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 44% LPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 13% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Northwest

LPC 37% CPC 63% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Northwest



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 58.6% 43.1% 45% ± 9% LPC 21.8% 22.9% 43% ± 8% NDP 15.1% 27.6% 10% ± 5% PPC 2.1% 6.2% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.