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Canada


Edmonton Strathcona (federal)


MP: Heather McPherson (NDP)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

NDP safe hold
Edmonton Strathcona 60% ± 7% 30% ± 6% 6% ± 3% NDP 2021 60.67% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Edmonton Strathcona >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC 6% ± 3% CPC 30% ± 6% NDP 60% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Strathcona 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Strathcona



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 44.0% 47.3% 60.67% 60% ± 7% CPC 31.3% 37.1% 25.45% 30% ± 6% LPC 20.7% 11.6% 7.56% 6% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 1.7% 4.51% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.3% 2.0% 1.29% 2% ± 2%