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Canada

Vancouver Centre


MP elect: Hedy Fry (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Vancouver Centre


Liberal Hedy Fry*
Conservative Elaine Allan
NDP Avi Lewis
Green Scott MacDonald
PPC Christopher Varga
Independent Drew William McPherson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vancouver Centre 55% ± 0%▼ LPC 30% ± 0%▲ CPC 13% ± 0%▲ NDP LPC 2025 55.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Centre >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Centre

LPC 55% ± 0% CPC 30% ± 0% NDP 13% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Centre 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 27% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 48% CPC 27% NDP 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 54% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 54% CPC 27% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 27% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 27% NDP 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 27% NDP 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 58% CPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 27% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% CPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 64% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 64% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 62% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 62% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 60% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 60% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 61% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 60% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 55% CPC 30% NDP 13% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver Centre

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Centre



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 55% ± 0% 42.3% 40.7% 55.2% CPC 30% ± 0% 19.6% 21.9% 30.2% NDP 13% ± 0% 23.5% 30.3% 12.6% GPC 1% ± 0% 12.3% 3.8% 1.4% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.3% 3.3% 0.4% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.