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Canada

Vancouver Centre



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
CPC leaning
Vancouver Centre 36% ± 8%▲ CPC 31% ± 8%▲ LPC 28% ± 7%▼ NDP 4% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 40.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Centre 77%▲ CPC 18%▲ LPC 5%▼ NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Centre



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 19.6% 21.9% 36% ± 8% LPC 42.3% 40.7% 31% ± 8% NDP 23.5% 30.3% 28% ± 7% GPC 12.3% 3.8% 4% ± 4% PPC 1.3% 3.3% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.