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Recent electoral history | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 41% ± 9% 35.0% 43.3% 48.7% LPC 29% ± 8% 30.1% 19.8% 35.2% NDP 25% ± 8% 27.2% 29.1% 13.8% PPC 1% ± 2% 1.4% 6.3% 0.8%

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338Canada Kenora—Kiiwetinoong projection

Latest update: January 18, 2026

Kenora—Kiiwetinoong 33% 50% 41% ± 9% CPC 21% 37% 29% ± 8% LPC 17% 33% 25% ± 8% NDP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2025 48.7% 338Canada vote projection | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kenora—Kiiwetinoong 97% CPC 2% LPC 1% NDP Odds of winning | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong

LPC 29% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 9% NDP 25% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 11% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 13% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 13% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 13% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 14% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 14% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 14% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 47% LPC 36% NDP 15% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 46% LPC 36% NDP 16% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 45% LPC 36% NDP 16% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 46% LPC 35% NDP 17% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 45% LPC 35% NDP 17% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 18% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 18% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 45% LPC 34% NDP 18% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 45% LPC 34% NDP 19% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 19% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 46% LPC 32% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 20% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 21% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 21% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 44% LPC 31% NDP 21% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 44% LPC 31% NDP 21% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 43% LPC 33% NDP 21% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 22% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 22% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 41% LPC 29% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 41% LPC 29% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 41% LPC 29% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 41% LPC 29% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2026-01-18

Odds of winning | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong

LPC 2% CPC 97% NDP 1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 96% LPC 3% NDP 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 96% LPC 3% NDP 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 97% LPC 2% NDP 1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 97% LPC 2% NDP 1% 2026-01-18


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Demographic data | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 94.5% English 4.4% Algonquian 2.6% Oji-Cree 0.4% French 0.3% Cree 0.1% Tagalog 0.1% PunjabiKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 23.5% No diploma 28.9% High school 7.9% Trade 22.6% College / Cégep 1.7% Some university 11.4% Bachelor's 3.9% PostgraduateKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 97.4% Not visible minority 2.6% Visible minority 0.8% South Asian 0.8% Filipino 0.3% Black 0.3% Chinese 0.1% Japanese 0.1% Latin AmericanKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 46.8% No Religion 16.6% Catholic 8.4% Anglican 6.1% United Church 5.9% Christian (n.o.s.) 5.3% Indigenous Spirituality 2.2% Lutheran 2.2% PentecostalKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 62.0% Owner 20.1% Renter 17.9% Community housingKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 53.1% Employed 42.0% Not in labour force 5.0% UnemployedKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 53.5% Non-Indigenous 46.5% Indigenous identity 39.2% First Nations 6.7% Metis 0.4% Others 0.3% MultipleKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 88.2% Car / truck / van 8.6% Walking 2.4% Other 0.5% Bicycle 0.3% Public transitKenora—KiiwetinoongSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.