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Canada

Kenora—Kiiwetinoong


MP elect: Eric Melillo (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong


Liberal Charles Fox
Conservative Eric Melillo*
NDP Tania Cameron
Green Jon Hobbs
PPC Bryce Desjarlais
Independent Kelvin Boucher-Chicago

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Kenora—Kiiwetinoong 49% ± 8%▼ CPC 35% ± 8%▲ LPC 14% ± 6%▲ NDP CPC 2025 48.7% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kenora—Kiiwetinoong 98%▼ CPC 2%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong

LPC 35% ± 8% CPC 49% ± 8% NDP 14% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 57% NDP 29% LPC 8% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 56% NDP 28% LPC 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 56% NDP 28% LPC 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 54% NDP 26% LPC 13% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 53% NDP 25% LPC 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 53% NDP 23% LPC 18% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 53% NDP 21% LPC 20% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 52% LPC 21% NDP 20% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 53% NDP 20% LPC 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 52% LPC 22% NDP 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 52% LPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 51% LPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 51% LPC 25% NDP 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 51% LPC 24% NDP 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 51% LPC 25% NDP 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 51% LPC 25% NDP 18% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 51% LPC 29% NDP 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 51% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 51% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 51% LPC 30% NDP 13% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 52% LPC 29% NDP 13% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 52% LPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 52% LPC 32% NDP 13% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 52% LPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 52% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 52% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 51% LPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 51% LPC 32% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 51% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 52% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 14% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong

LPC 2% CPC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Kenora—Kiiwetinoong



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 49% ± 8% 35.0% 43.3% 48.7% LPC 35% ± 8% 30.1% 19.8% 35.2% NDP 14% ± 6% 27.2% 29.1% 13.8% GPC 1% ± 2% 5.6% 1.4% 1.1% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.4% 6.3% 0.8% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.