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Canada

Windsor West



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
NDP likely
Windsor West 44% ± 8% NDP 31% ± 7% CPC 17% ± 5%▲ LPC 5% ± 6% PPC NDP 2021 44.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor West 99%▲ NDP 1%▼ CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Windsor West

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 44% ± 8% PPC 5% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Windsor West 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP PPC November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 47% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 47% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 47% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 47% CPC 29% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 47% CPC 29% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 48% CPC 29% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 48% CPC 29% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 46% CPC 30% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 46% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 46% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 46% CPC 30% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 46% CPC 30% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 47% CPC 29% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 47% CPC 29% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 46% CPC 29% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 46% CPC 29% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 44% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 45% CPC 30% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 43% CPC 32% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 43% CPC 33% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 43% CPC 33% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 43% CPC 33% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 44% CPC 31% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 45% CPC 31% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 44% CPC 31% LPC 16% PPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 44% CPC 31% LPC 17% PPC 5% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Windsor West

LPC <1% CPC 1% NDP 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Windsor West



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 40.0% 44.2% 44% ± 8% LPC 36.3% 27.8% 17% ± 5% CPC 19.1% 19.3% 31% ± 7% PPC 1.8% 8.3% 5% ± 6% GPC 2.5% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.