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Canada

Windsor West


MP elect: Harbinder Gill (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Windsor West


Liberal Richard Pollock
Conservative Harbinder Gill
NDP Brian Masse*
Green Louay Ahmad
PPC Jacob Bezaire
Marxist-Leninist Margaret Villamizar
Communist Joseph Markham

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Windsor West 39% ± 0%▲ CPC 31% ± 0%▼ LPC 28% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 39.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor West 98%▲ CPC 2%▼ LPC <1%▼ NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Windsor West

LPC 31% ± 0% CPC 39% ± 0% NDP 28% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Windsor West 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 36% CPC 29% LPC 28% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 36% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 34% LPC 32% CPC 28% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 35% LPC 32% CPC 27% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 35% LPC 32% CPC 27% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 35% LPC 32% CPC 27% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 35% LPC 32% CPC 27% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 35% LPC 32% CPC 27% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 34% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 35% NDP 33% CPC 27% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 35% NDP 33% CPC 27% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 35% NDP 32% CPC 28% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 35% NDP 35% CPC 26% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 36% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 36% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 26% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 26% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 36% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 25% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 36% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 36% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 36% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 24% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 24% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 25% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Windsor West

LPC 2% CPC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 84% CPC 10% LPC 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 88% LPC 8% CPC 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 64% LPC 31% CPC 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 71% LPC 26% CPC 2% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 71% LPC 26% CPC 2% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 70% LPC 27% CPC 2% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 70% LPC 28% CPC 2% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 69% LPC 28% CPC 2% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 59% LPC 38% CPC 3% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 56% LPC 41% CPC 3% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 50% LPC 48% CPC 3% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 52% NDP 45% CPC 2% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% NDP 38% CPC 3% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% NDP 36% CPC 3% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 63% NDP 33% CPC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 56% NDP 43% CPC 2% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% NDP 43% CPC 1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 51% NDP 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 52% LPC 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 55% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 54% LPC 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 52% LPC 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 52% LPC 47% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 60% LPC 39% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 53% LPC 47% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 56% LPC 44% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 56% LPC 43% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 54% LPC 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 50% LPC 49% CPC 1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 50% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 51% LPC 48% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 57% LPC 43% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 61% LPC 39% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 61% LPC 39% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Windsor West



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 39% ± 0% 19.1% 19.3% 39.0% LPC 31% ± 0% 36.3% 27.8% 30.9% NDP 28% ± 0% 40.0% 44.2% 27.8% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.8% 8.3% 1.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 2.5% 0.0% 0.7% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.