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Recent electoral history | Windsor West


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 36% ± 7% 19.1% 19.3% 39.0% LPC 30% ± 6% 36.3% 27.8% 30.9% NDP 30% ± 7% 40.0% 44.2% 27.8% PPC 1% ± 2% 1.8% 8.3% 1.0%

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338Canada Windsor West projection

Latest update: February 1, 2026

Windsor West 29% 42% 36% ± 7% CPC 24% 36% 30% ± 6% LPC 23% 37% 30% ± 7% NDP CPC 2025 39.0% 338Canada vote projection | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor West 80%▲ CPC 12%▼ NDP 9%▲ LPC Odds of winning | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Windsor West

LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 30% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Windsor West 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 25% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 28% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 38% LPC 31% NDP 29% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 37% LPC 31% NDP 29% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 37% LPC 30% NDP 30% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 36% NDP 31% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 35% NDP 32% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 34% CPC 34% LPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 34% NDP 32% LPC 31% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 30% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 35% NDP 35% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 35% NDP 35% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 29% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% GPC 2% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% GPC 2% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% GPC 2% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% GPC 2% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% GPC 2% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 36% LPC 30% NDP 30% GPC 2% 2026-02-01

Odds of winning | Windsor West

LPC 9% CPC 80% NDP 12% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 61% LPC 39% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 91% LPC 7% NDP 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 89% LPC 8% NDP 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 86% LPC 10% NDP 4% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 82% LPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 79% NDP 11% LPC 10% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 74% NDP 17% LPC 8% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 66% NDP 23% LPC 11% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 62% NDP 26% LPC 11% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 60% NDP 31% LPC 9% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 52% NDP 39% LPC 8% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 51% CPC 42% LPC 7% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 53% NDP 29% LPC 19% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 57% NDP 31% LPC 11% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 53% NDP 36% LPC 11% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 50% NDP 44% LPC 6% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 70% NDP 24% LPC 6% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 70% NDP 26% LPC 4% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 73% NDP 25% LPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 74% NDP 25% LPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 69% NDP 28% LPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 71% NDP 28% LPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 68% NDP 30% LPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 64% NDP 34% LPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 58% NDP 39% LPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 55% NDP 43% LPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 55% NDP 44% LPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 54% NDP 44% LPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 53% NDP 42% LPC 5% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 51% NDP 45% LPC 4% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 59% NDP 39% LPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 56% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 80% NDP 12% LPC 9% 2026-02-01


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Demographic data | Windsor West

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 78.1% English 5.8% Arabic 2.1% Mandarin 1.4% Punjabi 1.3% Urdu 1.2% Aramaic 0.8% VietnameseWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 11.9% No diploma 28.4% High school 4.9% Trade 21.6% College / Cégep 2.2% Some university 18.4% Bachelor's 12.7% PostgraduateWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 58.6% Not visible minority 41.4% Visible minority 12.1% Arab 10.0% South Asian 6.2% Black 4.4% Chinese 2.3% Southeast Asian 1.6% West AsianWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 29.3% Catholic 26.4% No Religion 16.0% Muslim 7.4% Christian (n.o.s.) 3.8% Hindu 2.7% Anglican 2.6% Orthodox 1.8% Other ChristianWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 59.4% Owner 40.6% RenterWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 46.0% Employed 43.5% Not in labour force 10.5% UnemployedWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 97.4% Non-Indigenous 2.6% Indigenous identity 1.3% First Nations 1.2% Metis 0.1% Others 0.1% MultipleWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 89.1% Car / truck / van 4.7% Public transit 3.3% Walking 2.0% Other 1.0% BicycleWindsor WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.