338Canada | York–Simcoe (Ontario federal district)




35119 - York–Simcoe

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 104,010 residents
Population density: 131 pop./km² (rank: 193 of 338)
Median household income: $89 463 (rank: 58 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Scot Davidson (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | York–Simcoe


Daniella Johnson
Scot Davidson
Benjamin Jenkins
Michael Lotter





Federal vote projection | York–Simcoe

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | York–Simcoe

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of York–Simcoe



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | York–Simcoe



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


York–Simcoe


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
46.1% ± 9.2% 46.3% Within confidence interval
36.0% ± 8.8% 26.8% Outside confidence interval
9.1% ± 4.1% 14.2% Outside confidence interval
4.6% ± 2.6% 8.6% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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