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Canada

Scarborough—Woburn


MP elect: Michael Coteau (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Scarborough—Woburn


Liberal Michael Coteau
Conservative Reddy Muttukuru
NDP George Wedge
Green Gianne Broughton
Centrist Ayub Sipra
Independent Amina Bhaiyat

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Scarborough—Woburn 60% ± 7%▲ LPC 34% ± 7%▲ CPC 4% ± 2%▼ NDP LPC 2025 60.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough—Woburn >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Scarborough—Woburn

LPC 60% ± 7% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Scarborough—Woburn 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 42% CPC 36% NDP 17% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 61% CPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 62% CPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 62% CPC 26% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 62% CPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 62% CPC 26% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 62% CPC 26% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 63% CPC 27% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 63% CPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 63% CPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 64% CPC 27% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 65% CPC 27% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 67% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 67% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 67% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 67% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 67% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 67% CPC 25% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 66% CPC 25% NDP 6% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Scarborough—Woburn

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Scarborough—Woburn



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 60% ± 7% 58.8% 60.4% 60.4% CPC 34% ± 7% 22.5% 22.5% 34.1% NDP 4% ± 2% 11.2% 13.2% 3.5% GPC 1% ± 1% 2.6% 0.0% 1.2% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 2.2% 3.1% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.